← Smart money
0x4734…60b1
SharpEdge
+10.9pp
ROI
+21%
Win rate
64% @ 52.8¢
Brier
0.125
Resolved
204
Avg size
$50
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 59% (16/27) | +22% | 27 |
| Other | 68% (17/25) | +28% | 25 |
| Tech | 69% (9/13) | +17% | 13 |
| Politics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +69% | 1 |
- Sports27 bets
- Hit rate
- 59% (16/27)
- ROI
- +22%
- Other25 bets
- Hit rate
- 68% (17/25)
- ROI
- +28%
- Tech13 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (9/13)
- ROI
- +17%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +69%
Track record
61% hit · 43/70- No$404 @ 66.6¢
- Yes$80 @ 14.7¢
- No$261 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 63.8¢
- Yes$15 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$479 @ 86.1¢
- No$6 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$17 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$146 @ 59.2¢
- Yes$24 @ 12.1¢
- No$92 @ 76.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 12.5¢
- No$45 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 81.4¢
- No$997 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$71 @ 68.4¢
- No$31 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 52.9¢
- Yes$92 @ 83.4¢
- No$48 @ 69.6¢
- Yes$55 @ 16.1¢
- Yes$137 @ 58.3¢
- Yes$22 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$107 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$29 @ 58.6¢
- Yes$50 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 81.3¢
- Yes$32 @ 67.1¢
- Yes$45 @ 14.4¢
- Yes$13 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$65 @ 79.0¢
- No$113 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 71.7¢
- Yes$612 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 33.7¢
- Yes$140 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 33.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 64.0¢
- No$81 @ 75.6¢
- No$345 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$206 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$34 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Tech | Yes | $388 | 84.0¢ |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Economy | Yes | $327 | 72.0¢ |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Economy | Yes | $232 | 82.8¢ |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Tech | Yes | $117 | 78.3¢ |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $80 | 10.6¢ |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $33 | 71.0¢ |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $25 | 73.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Tech | Yes | $16 | 75.0¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Science | Yes | $10 | 9.1¢ |
- Yes$388 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$327 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$232 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$117 @ 78.3¢
- Yes$80 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$33 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 75.0¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceYes$10 @ 9.1¢