0x46f7…0f92

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x46f7bab597b69fa846c3c89e0f8803d7423e0f92
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.1pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

21% @ 12.4¢

Brier

0.119

Resolved

551

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	17% (13/76)	+119%	76
Science	16% (7/43)	+38%	43
Other	10% (3/29)	+229%	29
Politics	4% (1/28)	-99%	28
Crypto	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Culture	33% (2/6)	-57%	6
Geopolitics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Sports76 bets
Hit rate
17% (13/76)
ROI
+119%
Science43 bets
Hit rate
16% (7/43)
ROI
+38%
Other29 bets
Hit rate
10% (3/29)
ROI
+229%
Politics28 bets
Hit rate
4% (1/28)
ROI
-99%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Culture6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
-57%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

13% hit · 26/193

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$2	24.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$4	29.5¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$35	0.7¢	Lost
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5	Over	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Haiti to win the second half?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	3.9¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Over	$2	75.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Under	$3	16.0¢	Lost
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	1.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	Yes	$32	0.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	$6	0.4¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Over	$14	17.5¢	Lost
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$37	2.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?	No	$5	16.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5	Over	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$55	1.4¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	0.5¢	Lost
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	$3	16.7¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	$3	18.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?	No	$2	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?	Yes	$5	3.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?	Yes	$2	11.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	No	$3	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	$2	5.0¢	Lost
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 Winner	Grind Back	$2	50.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$2	19.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	No	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	No	$2	50.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	$12	0.5¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$3	37.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Over	$3	8.0¢	Won
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5	Under	$3	1.0¢	Lost
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)	Uzbekistan	$2	1.6¢	Lost
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?	No	$2	25.0¢	Lost
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$5	2.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?	No	$2	40.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	$11	0.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	No	$9	32.6¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5	Under	$6	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?	No	$2	6.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	$2	1.4¢	Lost
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	No	$2	8.0¢	Won

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$2 @ 24.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$4 @ 29.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Lost
Yes$35 @ 0.7¢
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$2 @ 4.0¢
Haiti to win the second half?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2 @ 3.9¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Won
Over$2 @ 75.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$3 @ 16.0¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Lost
Yes$32 @ 0.9¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.4¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$14 @ 17.5¢
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$37 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Lost
No$5 @ 16.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$55 @ 1.4¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Lost
No$3 @ 16.7¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$3 @ 18.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?Won
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 15?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Lost
No$3 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 20?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Lost
No$2 @ 5.0¢
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Lost
No$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 WinnerLost
Grind Back$2 @ 50.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?Lost
No$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Won
No$2 @ 50.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.5¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$3 @ 37.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Won
Over$3 @ 8.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$3 @ 1.0¢
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Lost
Uzbekistan$2 @ 1.6¢
Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?Lost
No$2 @ 25.0¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?Lost
No$2 @ 40.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.2¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Won
No$9 @ 32.6¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Lost
Under$6 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?Lost
No$2 @ 6.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.4¢
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?Won
No$2 @ 8.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$66	1.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$24	75.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tech	No	$9	18.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?	Politics	No	$8	90.0¢
Will T1 win MSI 2026?	Sports	No	$8	75.0¢
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?	Politics	No	$7	10.5¢
Will Argentina win the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$7	14.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$7	70.0¢
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$6	40.0¢
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$6	50.0¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	Politics	No	$6	56.9¢
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$6	4.2¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$5	69.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?	Crypto	Yes	$5	0.9¢
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	15.0¢
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Sports	No	$5	75.0¢
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	—	Yes	$4	24.3¢
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	17.8¢
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	13.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tech	No	$3	4.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Other	Yes	$3	6.0¢
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Culture	No	$3	10.0¢
Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	15.0¢
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	25.0¢
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	25.0¢
Will Ghana be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	25.0¢
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$3	30.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Sports	Yes	$3	30.0¢
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$3	40.0¢
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$3	40.0¢

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$66 @ 1.2¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
No$24 @ 75.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech
No$9 @ 18.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics
No$8 @ 90.0¢
Will T1 win MSI 2026?Sports
No$8 @ 75.0¢
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?Politics
No$7 @ 10.5¢
Will Argentina win the World Cup?Sports
Yes$7 @ 14.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Politics
Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$6 @ 40.0¢
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$6 @ 50.0¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?Politics
No$6 @ 56.9¢
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$6 @ 4.2¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$5 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Crypto
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Sports
No$5 @ 75.0¢
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?—
Yes$4 @ 24.3¢
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 17.8¢
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 13.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech
No$3 @ 4.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Other
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Culture
No$3 @ 10.0¢
Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Ghana be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Sports
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$3 @ 40.0¢
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$3 @ 40.0¢