0x46d3…62e0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x46d3d62ab3dd01fb8dc3b16f0141462c82df62e0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+28.0pp

ROI

+41%

Win rate

73% @ 45.2¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

748

Avg size

$231

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (11/24)	+53%	24
Politics	20% (1/5)	-36%	5
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+96%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+89%	1

Other24 bets
Hit rate
46% (11/24)
ROI
+53%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-36%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+96%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+89%

Track record

45% hit · 14/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$8.8k	52.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$2.3k	57.5¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$13.2k	66.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$4.8k	51.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	$3.1k	51.4¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	$6.3k	35.2¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?	No	$850	34.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$9.0k	56.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?	No	$2.3k	56.8¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$4.4k	44.0¢	Lost
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	Yes	$972	17.1¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$1.1k	7.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$26.8k	55.2¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$4.3k	8.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$8.7k	56.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.6k	21.3¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$550	55.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?	Yes	$1.9k	15.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	$53	53.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$4.7k	46.9¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	No	$1.0k	15.7¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	$900	18.0¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	$3.8k	77.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?	No	$3.0k	60.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$17.0k	45.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$71	71.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	$6.3k	32.8¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	No	$22.0k	48.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	Yes	$2	42.6¢	Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	$9.3k	46.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$1.9k	14.5¢	Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$8.8k @ 52.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$2.3k @ 57.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
No$13.2k @ 66.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$4.8k @ 51.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Lost
No$3.1k @ 51.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$6.3k @ 35.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $4,000 by December 31?Lost
No$850 @ 34.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
No$9.0k @ 56.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?Lost
No$2.3k @ 56.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$4.4k @ 44.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$972 @ 17.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 7.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Won
No$26.8k @ 55.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$4.3k @ 8.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$8.7k @ 56.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.6k @ 21.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$550 @ 55.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 15.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?Won
No$53 @ 53.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Lost
Yes$4.7k @ 46.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Lost
No$1.0k @ 15.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Lost
No$900 @ 18.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Won
Yes$3.8k @ 77.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Won
No$3.0k @ 60.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$17.0k @ 45.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Lost
No$6.3k @ 32.8¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Won
No$22.0k @ 48.1¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 42.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Won
No$9.3k @ 46.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 14.5¢

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