0x46a1…2736

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other383 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (215/383)

  ROI

  +13%

• Tech39 bets

  Hit rate

  31% (12/39)

  ROI

  +6%

• Politics27 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (13/27)

  ROI

  +2%

• Crypto12 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (7/12)

  ROI

  -52%

• Sports8 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (2/8)

  ROI

  +18%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (3/5)

  ROI

  +18%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionWon
  Yes$184 @ 62.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?Won
  No$619 @ 82.5¢
• Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?Won
  No$165 @ 40.7¢
• Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?Lost
  Yes$364 @ 60.1¢
• Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 10%?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Won
  No$291 @ 72.8¢
• Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?Lost
  Yes$103 @ 32.1¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 1?Won
  No$74 @ 74.0¢
• Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
  No$50 @ 41.8¢
• Will Gemini generate images of people again in February?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
• Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?Lost
  No$42 @ 59.4¢
• Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?Won
  No$17 @ 34.0¢
• Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
  No$11 @ 81.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Won
  No$504 @ 77.6¢
• Will Trump launch a coin by Friday?Won
  No$91 @ 76.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Won
  No$1.4k @ 73.1¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$830 @ 83.0¢
• Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 11?Won
  No$9 @ 23.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Won
  No$1.3k @ 83.9¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$256 @ 40.1¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: MayWon
  Yes$72 @ 62.9¢
• Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Lost
  No$1.8k @ 36.7¢
• Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Lost
  Yes$71 @ 4.5¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Won
  No$128 @ 58.0¢
• OpenAI Sora public release before May?Lost
  Yes$431 @ 37.9¢
• Bitcoin above $70,000 on April 12?Won
  No$70 @ 35.0¢
• Bitcoin above $70,000 on April 12?Lost
  Yes$98 @ 49.0¢
• Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
  Yes$1.6k @ 19.6¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Lost
  No$18 @ 7.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in October?Lost
  No$106 @ 53.0¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$61 @ 6.1¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Won
  No$168 @ 56.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
  Yes$753 @ 32.6¢
• Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?Won
  No$323 @ 80.8¢
• Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Won
  No$51 @ 85.0¢
• Will Bernie Sanders say "Claude" at the rally on Saturday?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 39.3¢
• Will Putin visit China by May 31?Lost
  No$17 @ 0.2¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Won
  Yes$15 @ 22.0¢
• US bank failure in February?Won
  No$90 @ 85.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  No$42 @ 83.5¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$60 @ 60.0¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Won
  No$356 @ 71.3¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Lost
  Yes$110 @ 23.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$115 @ 6.8¢
• Google Trends ParlayLost
  Yes$26 @ 17.0¢
• Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?Won
  No$433 @ 35.0¢
• Ethereum all time high by October 31?Won
  No$415 @ 83.0¢
• Democrat other than Biden wins the Election?Won
  No$558 @ 78.5¢

Current positions

• Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  Yes$9.1k @ 80.4¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$4.3k @ 84.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$3.5k @ 70.9¢
• Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$3.5k @ 79.6¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$2.7k @ 90.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  No$2.3k @ 78.5¢
• Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.9k @ 65.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.3k @ 76.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.2k @ 77.0¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech
  No$937 @ 93.7¢
• Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Culture
  No$836 @ 43.1¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$817 @ 61.9¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
  No$795 @ 53.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$760 @ 76.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$750 @ 75.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$640 @ 64.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$583 @ 85.0¢
• Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto
  Yes$542 @ 67.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$540 @ 54.0¢
• US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics
  No$539 @ 86.0¢
• Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics
  No$504 @ 84.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$481 @ 47.4¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$466 @ 23.3¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$460 @ 92.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$428 @ 78.5¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$418 @ 68.0¢
• Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto
  No$229 @ 69.9¢
• US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics
  No$214 @ 77.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$161 @ 78.0¢
• Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Business
  No$120 @ 86.0¢