0x468b…68a5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x468b2d926fdca8d5d90d5b17274e2a74e5ad68a5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+10.6pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

47% @ 36.3¢

Brier

0.224

Resolved

459

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	42% (95/225)	+44%	225
Business	47% (31/66)	+5%	66
Economy	51% (18/35)	+3%	35
Crypto	55% (11/20)	+20%	20
Sports	40% (4/10)	-5%	10

Other225 bets
Hit rate
42% (95/225)
ROI
+44%
Business66 bets
Hit rate
47% (31/66)
ROI
+5%
Economy35 bets
Hit rate
51% (18/35)
ROI
+3%
Crypto20 bets
Hit rate
55% (11/20)
ROI
+20%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
-5%

Track record

45% hit · 159/356

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?	No	$1	54.0¢	Won
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?	No	$5	36.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?	No	$98	91.5¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?	Yes	$6	4.6¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?	Yes	$15	6.6¢	Lost
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?	Yes	$16	20.4¢	Lost
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.46% in September?	No	$6	39.0¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?	No	$143	95.2¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?	Yes	$20	7.3¢	Lost
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?	No	$278	92.2¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?	No	$14	90.9¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?	Yes	$6	5.0¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?	No	$53	88.0¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?	Yes	$1	2.2¢	Lost
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?	No	$100	90.6¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?	Yes	$16	5.1¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?	No	$175	91.3¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?	Yes	$2	16.0¢	Lost
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September?	No	$32	66.7¢	Lost
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September?	Yes	$0	30.8¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?	No	$92	90.4¢	Won
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?	Yes	$16	54.2¢	Lost
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in September?	No	$42	72.9¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September?	No	$24	36.9¢	Won
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?	Yes	$19	18.4¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?	No	$178	96.0¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?	No	$57	74.6¢	Won
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?	No	$82	78.3¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in September?	Yes	$43	66.0¢	Lost
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in September?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 30?	Yes	$13	88.0¢	Won
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in September?	No	$64	87.5¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September?	Yes	$2	8.1¢	Lost
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September?	No	$20	93.5¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?	Yes	$3	17.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September?	No	$9	88.0¢	Won
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?	No	$15	86.0¢	Won
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in September?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in September?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?	No	$32	94.9¢	Won
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?	Yes	$4	10.5¢	Lost
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in September?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $208 in September?	No	$41	93.3¢	Won
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $208 in September?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in September?	Yes	$19	18.4¢	Lost
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in September?	Yes	$1	6.7¢	Lost
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $184 in September?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?Won
No$1 @ 54.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?Won
No$5 @ 36.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?Won
No$98 @ 91.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?Lost
Yes$6 @ 4.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?Lost
Yes$15 @ 6.6¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in September?Lost
Yes$16 @ 20.4¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.46% in September?Won
No$6 @ 39.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?Won
No$143 @ 95.2¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.61% in September?Lost
Yes$20 @ 7.3¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?Won
No$278 @ 92.2¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?Won
No$14 @ 90.9¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in September?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?Won
No$53 @ 88.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?Won
No$100 @ 90.6¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?Lost
Yes$16 @ 5.1¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?Won
No$175 @ 91.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?Lost
Yes$2 @ 16.0¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September?Lost
No$32 @ 66.7¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September?Won
Yes$0 @ 30.8¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?Won
No$92 @ 90.4¢
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.52% in September?Lost
Yes$16 @ 54.2¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $220 in September?Won
No$42 @ 72.9¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September?Won
No$24 @ 36.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Lost
Yes$19 @ 18.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?Won
No$178 @ 96.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?Won
No$57 @ 74.6¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Won
No$82 @ 78.3¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in September?Lost
Yes$43 @ 66.0¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in September?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 30?Won
Yes$13 @ 88.0¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in September?Won
No$64 @ 87.5¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 in September?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.1¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in September?Won
No$20 @ 93.5¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Lost
Yes$3 @ 17.0¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September?Won
No$9 @ 88.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $164 in September?Won
No$15 @ 86.0¢
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?Won
No$32 @ 94.9¢
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.5¢
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $208 in September?Won
No$41 @ 93.3¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $208 in September?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in September?Lost
Yes$19 @ 18.4¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $184 in September?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?	Economy	No	$278	92.2¢
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?	Business	No	$237	94.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?	Economy	No	$178	96.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?	Economy	No	$175	91.3¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?	Economy	No	$143	95.2¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Other	No	$143	90.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?	Other	No	$100	85.6¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?	Economy	No	$100	90.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?	Economy	No	$98	91.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?	Economy	No	$92	90.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?	Economy	No	$82	78.3¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in September?	Business	No	$82	93.3¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $196 in September?	Business	No	$75	79.1¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in September?	Other	No	$64	80.1¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in September?	Business	No	$64	87.5¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $270 in September?	Business	No	$63	64.4¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?	Economy	No	$57	74.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in September?	Other	No	$56	77.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in September?	Other	No	$54	96.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in September?	Other	No	$54	96.8¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$53	90.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?	Business	Yes	$53	94.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?	Economy	No	$53	88.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 30?	Crypto	No	$48	93.2¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September?	Other	No	$48	86.3¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $187.5B by September 30?	Other	No	$47	94.0¢
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	Yes	$47	94.0¢
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of September 28 2026?	Business	Yes	$47	94.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in September?	Business	No	$47	94.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $76 in September?	Crypto	No	$46	92.0¢

Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?Economy
No$278 @ 92.2¢
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Business
No$237 @ 94.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in September?Economy
No$178 @ 96.0¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?Economy
No$175 @ 91.3¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?Economy
No$143 @ 95.2¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?Other
No$143 @ 90.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?Other
No$100 @ 85.6¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September?Economy
No$100 @ 90.6¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.56% in September?Economy
No$98 @ 91.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?Economy
No$92 @ 90.4¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Economy
No$82 @ 78.3¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in September?Business
No$82 @ 93.3¢
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $196 in September?Business
No$75 @ 79.1¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in September?Other
No$64 @ 80.1¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in September?Business
No$64 @ 87.5¢
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $270 in September?Business
No$63 @ 64.4¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in September?Economy
No$57 @ 74.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in September?Other
No$56 @ 77.5¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in September?Other
No$54 @ 96.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in September?Other
No$54 @ 96.8¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in September?Crypto
Yes$53 @ 90.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in September?Business
Yes$53 @ 94.3¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?Economy
No$53 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 30?Crypto
No$48 @ 93.2¢
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September?Other
No$48 @ 86.3¢
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $187.5B by September 30?Other
No$47 @ 94.0¢
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of September 28 2026?Business
Yes$47 @ 94.0¢
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $204 Week of September 28 2026?Business
Yes$47 @ 94.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $40 in September?Business
No$47 @ 94.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $76 in September?Crypto
No$46 @ 92.0¢