0x4640…7137

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4640a3e4546d2c99593a207baa324d044b3e7137
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.4pp

ROI

+21%

Win rate

40% @ 33.5¢

Brier

0.206

Resolved

381

Avg size

$14

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	41% (56/138)	+22%	138
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other138 bets
Hit rate
41% (56/138)
ROI
+22%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

40% hit · 56/140

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2500 on May 16?	Yes	$17	33.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during her North Carolina rally?	Yes	$8	61.0¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	Yes	$17	8.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?	Yes	$3	9.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$20	73.0¢	Won
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?	Yes	$11	33.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?	Yes	$10	45.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 30?	No	$20	10.5¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?	Yes	$15	42.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?	Yes	$26	25.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	No	$2	90.0¢	Won
Will Barron tweet in September?	Yes	$14	13.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?	No	$3	12.0¢	Lost
Trump post about a memecoin before election?	No	$3	87.0¢	Won
2024 July hottest on record?	No	$8	37.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?	Yes	$3	51.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Won
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 15?	Yes	$3	46.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Nevada rally?	No	$54	12.9¢	Lost
Braves vs. Nationals	Braves	$1	72.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?	Yes	$7	58.0¢	Lost
Giants vs. Bills	Bills	$1	59.0¢	Lost
Will $POPCAT be listed first on Binance?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?	Yes	$60	24.0¢	Lost
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?	No	$3	26.0¢	Lost
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 27?	No	$17	10.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Abdul" during his Arizona rally?	No	$3	64.0¢	Won
Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?	Yes	$4	3.2¢	Lost
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?	No	$1	27.7¢	Lost
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?	No	$2	51.0¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris say "unrealized" during her North Carolina rally?	Yes	$3	18.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?	Yes	$13	63.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	Yes	$48	20.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 12?	Yes	$1	49.0¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?	Yes	$70	16.1¢	Lost
Twins vs. Tigers	Tigers	$2	58.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?	Yes	$8	14.0¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	Yes	$20	13.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April?	Yes	$26	3.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 26?	No	$1	52.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	$131	14.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?	Yes	$6	16.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview?	Yes	$3	40.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?	No	$1	48.0¢	Won
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$3	70.0¢	Won
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	No	$4	6.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Memecoin" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2500 on May 16?Lost
Yes$17 @ 33.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during her North Carolina rally?Lost
Yes$8 @ 61.0¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Lost
Yes$17 @ 8.0¢
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? Lost
Yes$3 @ 9.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Won
Makhachev$20 @ 73.0¢
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?Lost
Yes$11 @ 33.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?Lost
Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 30?Lost
No$20 @ 10.5¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?Lost
Yes$15 @ 42.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?Won
Yes$26 @ 25.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Won
No$2 @ 90.0¢
Will Barron tweet in September?Lost
Yes$14 @ 13.5¢
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?Lost
No$3 @ 12.0¢
Trump post about a memecoin before election?Won
No$3 @ 87.0¢
2024 July hottest on record?Lost
No$8 @ 37.7¢
Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Lost
Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?Won
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 15?Won
Yes$3 @ 46.0¢
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Nevada rally?Lost
No$54 @ 12.9¢
Braves vs. NationalsWon
Braves$1 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump say "fake news" at debate?Lost
Yes$7 @ 58.0¢
Giants vs. Bills Lost
Bills $1 @ 59.0¢
Will $POPCAT be listed first on Binance?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Lost
Yes$60 @ 24.0¢
Will JD Vance say "God" 3+ times during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?Lost
No$3 @ 26.0¢
Ethereum above $2,500 on May 27?Lost
No$17 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump say "Abdul" during his Arizona rally?Won
No$3 @ 64.0¢
Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.2¢
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?Lost
No$1 @ 27.7¢
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?Won
No$2 @ 51.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "unrealized" during her North Carolina rally?Lost
Yes$3 @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Won
Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Lost
Yes$48 @ 20.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 12?Won
Yes$1 @ 49.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
No$1 @ 19.0¢
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?Lost
Yes$70 @ 16.1¢
Twins vs. TigersLost
Tigers$2 @ 58.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?Lost
Yes$8 @ 14.0¢
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Lost
Yes$20 @ 13.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April?Lost
Yes$26 @ 3.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 26?Won
No$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? Lost
Yes$131 @ 14.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Won
Yes$6 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview?Lost
Yes$3 @ 40.0¢
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?Won
No$1 @ 48.0¢
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 70.0¢
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Lost
No$4 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "Memecoin" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$73	23.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$42	11.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$32	9.7¢

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$73 @ 23.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$42 @ 11.2¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$32 @ 9.7¢