0x45e1…5934

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x45e1535c178dcafb136aec8b7058f2129b695934
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+17.5pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

100% @ 82.5¢

Brier

0.034

Resolved

Avg size

$14

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	84% (38/45)	+8%	45
Other	76% (22/29)	-9%	29
Politics	100% (8/8)	+21%	8

Sports45 bets
Hit rate
84% (38/45)
ROI
+8%
Other29 bets
Hit rate
76% (22/29)
ROI
-9%
Politics8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+21%

Track record

83% hit · 68/82

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	No	$235	83.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	$19	75.7¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	$40	89.3¢	Won
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$123	88.0¢	Won
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	$37	73.2¢	Won
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$26	88.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	$131	84.2¢	Won
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$28	88.0¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	No	$4	89.3¢	Won
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$25	74.1¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	$53	88.3¢	Won
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	$213	82.0¢	Won
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	$70	80.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	$9	88.3¢	Won
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	$32	79.3¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	$21	82.8¢	Won
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$250	87.0¢	Won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5	Under	$620	81.2¢	Won
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	No	$632	79.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$93	70.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	No	$26	76.0¢	Lost
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	No	$1.2k	80.4¢	Won
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	No	$304	89.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	$178	86.8¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sean OMalley	$1.5k	79.9¢	Won
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LYON	$498	83.5¢	Won
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	No	$1.5k	68.6¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$331	71.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	No	$1.3k	87.2¢	Won
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)	Uruguay	$563	87.0¢	Won
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?	No	$75	79.0¢	Won
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	No	$321	75.2¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	No	$1.3k	87.7¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	No	$1.2k	87.0¢	Won
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	LYON	$27	89.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$267	74.7¢	Won
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Over	$460	73.8¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	$452	75.5¢	Won
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	No	$237	72.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	G2	$369	84.5¢	Won
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?	No	$57	81.0¢	Won
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia Bronzetti	Katarzyna Kawa	$13	75.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Aurora Gaming	$937	80.0¢	Won
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$232	79.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5	Over	$380	80.7¢	Won
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	$8	78.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$112	82.9¢	Won
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?	No	$573	62.6¢	Won
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	No	$205	70.0¢	Won
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)	BIG	$10	80.0¢	Won

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Won
No$235 @ 83.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Won
No$19 @ 75.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Won
No$40 @ 89.3¢
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$123 @ 88.0¢
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Won
No$37 @ 73.2¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$26 @ 88.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Won
No$131 @ 84.2¢
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Won
Yes$28 @ 88.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Won
No$4 @ 89.3¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Won
Yes$25 @ 74.1¢
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Won
No$53 @ 88.3¢
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
Yes$213 @ 82.0¢
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
No$70 @ 80.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 88.3¢
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Won
Yes$32 @ 79.3¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Won
No$21 @ 82.8¢
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$250 @ 87.0¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Won
Under$620 @ 81.2¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Won
No$632 @ 79.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$93 @ 70.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Lost
No$26 @ 76.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$1.2k @ 80.4¢
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?Won
No$304 @ 89.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Won
No$178 @ 86.8¢
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Sean OMalley$1.5k @ 79.9¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsWon
LYON$498 @ 83.5¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$1.5k @ 68.6¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$331 @ 71.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$1.3k @ 87.2¢
Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5)Won
Uruguay$563 @ 87.0¢
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$75 @ 79.0¢
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Lost
No$321 @ 75.2¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Won
No$1.3k @ 87.7¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Won
No$1.2k @ 87.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerWon
LYON$27 @ 89.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Won
Yes$267 @ 74.7¢
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Won
Over$460 @ 73.8¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$452 @ 75.5¢
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
No$237 @ 72.5¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
G2$369 @ 84.5¢
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?Won
No$57 @ 81.0¢
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucia BronzettiWon
Katarzyna Kawa$13 @ 75.1¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
Aurora Gaming$937 @ 80.0¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Won
No$232 @ 79.0¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Won
Over$380 @ 80.7¢
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou BergsLost
Zizou Bergs$8 @ 78.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$112 @ 82.9¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Won
No$573 @ 62.6¢
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Won
No$205 @ 70.0¢
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)Won
BIG$10 @ 80.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$11.7k	85.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	No	$9.3k	96.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	Politics	No	$9.3k	99.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Politics	No	$9.0k	99.5¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$7.7k	88.7¢
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	No	$3.8k	99.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Politics	No	$3.6k	99.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$3.4k	99.3¢
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2.9k	99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	Crypto	No	$2.5k	89.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Crypto	No	$2.3k	82.3¢
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2.3k	99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	Crypto	No	$2.0k	97.4¢
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$2.0k	99.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.9k	96.5¢
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.9k	99.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.9k	96.7¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25?	—	Yes	$1.6k	99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 25?	—	Yes	$1.5k	99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	Crypto	No	$1.4k	98.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.3k	98.7¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.3k	97.2¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?	—	Yes	$1.2k	95.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?	Crypto	No	$1.2k	99.8¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	No	$1.2k	99.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Politics	No	$1.1k	97.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.1k	99.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Crypto	No	$1.1k	91.8¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$11.7k @ 85.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
No$9.3k @ 96.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?Politics
No$9.3k @ 99.7¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics
No$9.0k @ 99.5¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$7.7k @ 88.7¢
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
No$3.8k @ 99.9¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics
No$3.6k @ 99.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$3.4k @ 99.3¢
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2.9k @ 99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Crypto
No$2.5k @ 89.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Crypto
No$2.3k @ 82.3¢
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2.3k @ 99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Crypto
No$2.0k @ 97.4¢
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$2.0k @ 99.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
No$1.9k @ 96.5¢
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.9k @ 99.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
No$1.9k @ 96.7¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25?—
Yes$1.6k @ 99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 25?—
Yes$1.5k @ 99.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Crypto
No$1.4k @ 98.5¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.3k @ 98.7¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
No$1.3k @ 97.2¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25?—
Yes$1.2k @ 95.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?Crypto
No$1.2k @ 99.8¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
No$1.2k @ 99.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Politics
No$1.1k @ 97.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Politics
No$1.1k @ 99.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Crypto
No$1.1k @ 91.8¢