0x45a3…12f0

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other201 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (167/201)

  ROI

  +8%

• Politics35 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (28/35)

  ROI

  -4%

• Sports11 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (9/11)

  ROI

  -7%

• Crypto9 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (7/9)

  ROI

  -8%

• Geopolitics8 bets

  Hit rate

  88% (7/8)

  ROI

  +16%

• Economy6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +77%

• Tech5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +14%

• Business1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +26%

• Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $108 in June?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
• Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Won
  Yes$219 @ 84.1¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Won
  No$160 @ 85.0¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 61.0¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
• Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Won
  No$120 @ 88.0¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$132 @ 87.8¢
• Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Won
  No$50 @ 85.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Lost
  No$29 @ 27.9¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Won
  Yes$153 @ 76.0¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Won
  No$44 @ 88.0¢
• Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$200 @ 84.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$250 @ 84.5¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$750 @ 87.0¢
• Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Won
  No$52 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Won
  Yes$21 @ 5.9¢
• Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?Won
  No$180 @ 82.3¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
  No$84 @ 83.6¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?Won
  No$20 @ 82.3¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$300 @ 72.0¢
• Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?Won
  No$107 @ 75.1¢
• Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Won
  No$50 @ 84.9¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
  No$100 @ 82.8¢
• First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Won
  Gold$10 @ 65.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
  No$100 @ 77.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Won
  Yes$400 @ 83.9¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 84.9¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Won
  No$1 @ 89.0¢
• Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?Won
  No$1 @ 65.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$360 @ 88.2¢
• Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$50 @ 81.0¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Won
  No$10 @ 86.0¢
• Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Won
  No$80 @ 88.7¢
• Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Won
  Yes$16 @ 75.6¢
• Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of July 13 2026?Won
  No$254 @ 86.4¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$458 @ 76.1¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$31 @ 5.8¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Won
  No$40 @ 77.0¢
• Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?Lost
  No$20 @ 56.0¢
• Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?Won
  Yes$60 @ 89.8¢
• Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
• Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
  Yes$50 @ 71.0¢
• Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
  Yes$228 @ 77.3¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$100 @ 89.5¢
• Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?Won
  Yes$53 @ 89.0¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$536 @ 78.6¢
• Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Won
  Yes$26 @ 82.8¢
• Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Lost
  No$60 @ 89.0¢
• Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$449 @ 87.6¢

Current positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$600 @ 84.0¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$500 @ 95.0¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Crypto
  No$300 @ 96.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$300 @ 84.5¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$298 @ 99.3¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$222 @ 55.6¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$200 @ 71.0¢
• Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$184 @ 92.0¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$180 @ 60.1¢
• Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy
  Yes$180 @ 90.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$80 @ 80.0¢
• Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$57 @ 78.3¢
• Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$56 @ 56.0¢
• Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Crypto
  $60$54 @ 77.3¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$50 @ 84.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$49 @ 65.7¢
• Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Crypto
  No$38 @ 81.4¢
• Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
• Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$16 @ 82.0¢