0x44d9…4c1a

Specialization by sphere

• Other69 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (40/69)

  ROI

  +25%

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (4/8)

  ROI

  +40%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +18%

• Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May?Won
  No$5.2k @ 59.0¢
• Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 50.0¢
• Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?Lost
  Yes$550 @ 3.2¢
• Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Lost
  Yes$2.7k @ 24.1¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$2.6k @ 79.0¢
• Will Tennessee have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 6.0¢
• Will Israel invade Lebanon before April?Lost
  Yes$344 @ 7.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.5k @ 84.9¢
• Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%Won
  Yes$250 @ 10.0¢
• Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 50.0¢
• Young Thug found guilty of racketeering?Won
  Yes$608 @ 81.0¢
• Will Grune receive more than 14% of votes?Won
  No$5.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Lost
  No$984 @ 27.8¢
• SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Won
  No$710 @ 71.0¢
• Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29?Won
  No$3.2k @ 80.0¢
• zkSync airdrop by April?Won
  No$5.0k @ 53.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?Won
  No$740 @ 86.0¢
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?Lost
  Yes$640 @ 8.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Won
  No$526 @ 60.1¢
• Biden drops out of presidential race?Lost
  No$7.3k @ 66.8¢
• Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Lost
  Yes$57 @ 41.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$29.9k @ 73.9¢
• 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Lost
  Yes$525 @ 7.0¢
• Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus 50-60%Won
  No$1.3k @ 89.0¢
• Ethereum all time high in 2024?Lost
  Yes$1.2k @ 70.0¢
• Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?Lost
  Yes$550 @ 55.0¢
• Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%Lost
  Yes$250 @ 10.0¢
• Bitcoin all time high in Q1?Won
  Yes$3.1k @ 63.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
  No$3.4k @ 73.3¢
• Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Lost
  No$7.3k @ 18.3¢
• Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Lost
  Yes$15.5k @ 77.5¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Won
  No$5.9k @ 77.0¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2023-24 Champions League?Won
  No$445 @ 89.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?Won
  No$10.1k @ 73.6¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
  Yes$3.0k @ 55.0¢
• More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 67.0¢
• Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$31 @ 85.0¢
• Bitcoin all time high in April?Won
  No$22 @ 79.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Lost
  No$9.7k @ 63.7¢
• Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus >60%Won
  Yes$3.1k @ 89.0¢
• Solana all time high in Q2?Lost
  Yes$56 @ 14.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Won
  No$7.3k @ 50.7¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Lost
  Yes$314 @ 56.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Lost
  No$11.4k @ 58.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Lost
  No$6.8k @ 39.3¢
• Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%Lost
  Yes$4.3k @ 65.3¢
• Solana all time high in Q3?Lost
  Yes$128 @ 12.0¢
• Will Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?Won
  No$1.9k @ 77.0¢
• Solana all time high in Q4?Won
  Yes$241 @ 12.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
  No$45.3k @ 69.4¢

Current positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$27.7k @ 45.6¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$10.7k @ 45.6¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$10.5k @ 28.4¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics
  No$8.3k @ 83.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$7.5k @ 46.4¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$5.7k @ 54.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.1k @ 41.7¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$4.7k @ 33.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$3.9k @ 39.9¢
• Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics
  No$3.7k @ 91.2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 28.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics
  Yes$3.3k @ 31.8¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 50.7¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Politics
  Yes$585 @ 39.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$582 @ 20.0¢
• Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$506 @ 80.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$423 @ 42.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$341 @ 39.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics
  Yes$274 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Politics
  Yes$163 @ 40.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Politics
  Yes$107 @ 22.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Politics
  Yes$104 @ 72.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  No$91 @ 41.0¢
• Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Politics
  Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics
  Yes$50 @ 19.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Politics
  Yes$29 @ 29.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 18.0¢