0x448b…c94a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x448b7f6dcb0c6dfd0a52caacb041c6c66008c94a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.9pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

76% @ 60.9¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

132

Avg size

$42

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (16/31)	+38%	31
Sports	72% (21/29)	+30%	29
Politics	81% (13/16)	+14%	16
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+19%	4
Economy	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other31 bets
Hit rate
52% (16/31)
ROI
+38%
Sports29 bets
Hit rate
72% (21/29)
ROI
+30%
Politics16 bets
Hit rate
81% (13/16)
ROI
+14%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+19%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

68% hit · 55/81

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	No	$29	89.6¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$4	81.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$100	80.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$25	59.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$10	54.0¢	Lost
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$20	87.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$20	74.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	22.0¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$120	75.0¢	Won
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25	52.9¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$4	64.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$73	61.8¢	Won
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Lost
Will Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	$5	28.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$5	60.0¢	Won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	$5	46.0¢	Lost
Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	40.0¢	Won
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$1	37.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$10	59.8¢	Won
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$10	70.0¢	Won
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25	57.4¢	Won
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	63.0¢	Lost
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$75	90.0¢	Won
NBA Finals: Will there be a Breen Bang in Game 3?	No	$10	54.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$2	64.0¢	Won
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$11	55.1¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$100	61.0¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$30	86.7¢	Won
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$35	55.1¢	Won
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	$50	74.8¢	Won
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	37.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	$136	79.0¢	Won
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	84.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$25	47.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$10	79.0¢	Won
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?	Yes	$32	69.8¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	$50	40.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$81	71.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$10	73.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$20	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$60	36.2¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$46	37.3¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$20	81.9¢	Won
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Lost
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	$20	50.7¢	Lost
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	$1.3k	71.0¢	Won
Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$11	54.9¢	Lost
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5	No	$5	57.0¢	Lost
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$67	15.2¢	Lost

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Won
No$29 @ 89.6¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$4 @ 81.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 80.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$25 @ 59.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$10 @ 54.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 87.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 74.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$120 @ 75.0¢
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$25 @ 52.9¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$4 @ 64.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$73 @ 61.8¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
Will Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 60.0¢
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Lost
Yes$5 @ 46.0¢
Will Alexis Mac Allister score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Lost
No$1 @ 37.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$10 @ 59.8¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$25 @ 57.4¢
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Won
No$75 @ 90.0¢
NBA Finals: Will there be a Breen Bang in Game 3?Lost
No$10 @ 54.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$2 @ 64.0¢
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 55.1¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$100 @ 61.0¢
Will Lionel Messi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$30 @ 86.7¢
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$35 @ 55.1¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$50 @ 74.8¢
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Won
No$136 @ 79.0¢
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$20 @ 84.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
No$25 @ 47.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Lost
Yes$32 @ 69.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$50 @ 40.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$81 @ 71.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Won
Yes$10 @ 73.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Won
Yes$20 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$60 @ 36.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
Yes$46 @ 37.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 81.9¢
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Lost
No$20 @ 50.7¢
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 71.0¢
Will Vitinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$11 @ 54.9¢
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Lost
No$5 @ 57.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$67 @ 15.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	Yes	$305	95.6¢

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
Yes$305 @ 95.6¢