0x4483…c565

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4483c26cdf27496cf32fb244972fca3f9ee5c565
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.5pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

54% @ 46.1¢

Brier

0.270

Resolved

616

Avg size

$174

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (74/159)	-9%	159
Sports	45% (43/95)	+16%	95
Politics	25% (1/4)	-70%	4
Tech	50% (1/2)	+49%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+59%	1

Other159 bets
Hit rate
47% (74/159)
ROI
-9%
Sports95 bets
Hit rate
45% (43/95)
ROI
+16%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-70%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+49%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+59%

Track record

46% hit · 120/261

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 45.5	Under	$500	62.5¢	Won
Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Giants	$500	46.0¢	Lost
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)	Toronto Blue Jays	$300	37.7¢	Lost
Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$152	47.6¢	Lost
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	$150	39.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$308	45.0¢	Won
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	$410	48.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	No	$153	39.0¢	Lost
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	New York Yankees	$200	45.0¢	Won
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)	Fils	$254	40.3¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$4.6k	49.6¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5.5k	31.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Under	$456	55.6¢	Won
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$2.5k	50.1¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$521	51.5¢	Lost
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	$150	53.0¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	$309	37.9¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$203	58.0¢	Won
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$302	74.0¢	Won
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	$300	52.0¢	Lost
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	$123	54.3¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	$580	41.6¢	Lost
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$351	57.0¢	Won
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$99	43.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	$51	61.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	$25	64.0¢	Lost
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5	Under	$359	50.0¢	Won
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5	Under	$200	24.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Magic	$36	52.0¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	$253	65.9¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Morocco	$254	50.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Under	$101	74.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$616	8.9¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$235	47.0¢	Won
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$406	53.1¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$304	59.0¢	Won
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)	Lakers	$101	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$355	50.5¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$608	55.5¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$251	80.6¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	Brandon Nakashima	$359	49.0¢	Won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Suns	$200	47.0¢	Lost
Fokina vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5	Over	$300	49.2¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$3.1k	54.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$101	72.0¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$101	70.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	$200	49.0¢	Won
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Under	$305	49.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$711	48.3¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$1.8k	42.1¢	Lost

Giants vs. Rams: O/U 45.5Won
Under$500 @ 62.5¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5)Lost
Giants$500 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Lost
Toronto Blue Jays$300 @ 37.7¢
Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$152 @ 47.6¢
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano DarderiLost
Juan Manuel Cerundolo$150 @ 39.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$308 @ 45.0¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-29?Won
No$410 @ 48.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Lost
No$153 @ 39.0¢
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Won
New York Yankees$200 @ 45.0¢
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Lost
Fils$254 @ 40.3¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$4.6k @ 49.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5.5k @ 31.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Won
Under$456 @ 55.6¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$2.5k @ 50.1¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$521 @ 51.5¢
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Lost
Celtics$150 @ 53.0¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksLost
Patriots$309 @ 37.9¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$203 @ 58.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Won
Lakers$302 @ 74.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksLost
Arizona Diamondbacks$300 @ 52.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsWon
Chicago Cubs$123 @ 54.3¢
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
No$580 @ 41.6¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$351 @ 57.0¢
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Won
Yes$99 @ 43.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursWon
Knicks$51 @ 61.0¢
Knicks vs. SpursLost
Spurs$25 @ 64.0¢
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Won
Under$359 @ 50.0¢
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5Lost
Under$200 @ 24.0¢
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Lost
Magic$36 @ 52.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Won
Yes$253 @ 65.9¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWon
Morocco$254 @ 50.0¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Won
Under$101 @ 74.0¢
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$616 @ 8.9¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Won
Yes$235 @ 47.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$406 @ 53.1¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$304 @ 59.0¢
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lost
Lakers$101 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Won
Bosnia and Herzegovina$355 @ 50.5¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$608 @ 55.5¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$251 @ 80.6¢
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevWon
Brandon Nakashima$359 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lost
Suns$200 @ 47.0¢
Fokina vs. Busta: Match O/U 22.5Lost
Over$300 @ 49.2¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$3.1k @ 54.0¢
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$101 @ 72.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$101 @ 70.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Won
Yes$200 @ 49.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Won
Under$305 @ 49.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$711 @ 48.3¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 42.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$4.1k	47.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	18.7¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	14.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	58.3¢
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	Sports	Yes	$927	37.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$806	47.0¢
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 45.5	Sports	Under	$698	63.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$500	53.1¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$500	49.8¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5)	Sports	Giants	$500	46.0¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Sports	Yes	$500	26.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$488	5.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Sports	Yes	$415	39.0¢
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?	Sports	Yes	$273	41.8¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$100	18.5¢
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?	Sports	Yes	$100	64.3¢
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Sports	Yes	$100	23.5¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1	41.0¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$4.1k @ 47.5¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 18.7¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 14.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 58.3¢
Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Sports
Yes$927 @ 37.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$806 @ 47.0¢
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 45.5Sports
Under$698 @ 63.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$500 @ 53.1¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$500 @ 49.8¢
Spread: Rams (-7.5)Sports
Giants$500 @ 46.0¢
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
Yes$500 @ 26.0¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$488 @ 5.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Sports
Yes$415 @ 39.0¢
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Sports
Yes$273 @ 41.8¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$100 @ 18.5¢
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?Sports
Yes$100 @ 64.3¢
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Sports
Yes$100 @ 23.5¢
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢