← Smart money
0x441d…544d
ProfitableEdge
+11.0pp
ROI
+28%
Win rate
44% @ 33.2¢
Brier
0.231
Resolved
830
Avg size
$339
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (18/34) | +15% | 34 |
| Sports | 27% (3/11) | -7% | 11 |
- Other34 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (18/34)
- ROI
- +15%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (3/11)
- ROI
- -7%
Track record
47% hit · 21/45- No$7.4k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$25.5k @ 84.9¢
- Alessandro Costa$2.3k @ 78.0¢
- No$4.0k @ 51.6¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 69.4¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 51.0¢
- Under$792 @ 72.0¢
- No$149 @ 80.5¢
- Over$120 @ 38.0¢
- Under$232 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$976 @ 2.6¢
- San Diego Padres$520 @ 52.0¢
- Spurs$860 @ 43.0¢
- No$8.6k @ 69.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.2¢
- Over$572 @ 23.2¢
- Under$724 @ 72.0¢
- Cavaliers$413 @ 39.0¢
- Knicks$226 @ 24.2¢
- Habs$1.3k @ 54.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 9.9¢
- Over$76 @ 77.0¢
- Under$54 @ 51.0¢
- Timberwolves$184 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$673 @ 1.8¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$82 @ 60.0¢
- St. Louis Cardinals$1 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$15 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
- Over$683 @ 61.0¢
- Under$70 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$477 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
- Colorado Rockies$495 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$507 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$481 @ 40.0¢
- Karol Rosa$1.0k @ 50.0¢
- San Diego Padres$488 @ 61.0¢
- Spurs$408 @ 63.5¢
- Timberwolves$122 @ 40.0¢
- Over$1.4k @ 41.1¢
- Under$416 @ 35.6¢
- Yes$57 @ 3.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? | Sports | Yes | $3.7k | 50.1¢ |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? | Sports | Yes | $2.6k | 36.3¢ |
| Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title? | Sports | No | $2.1k | 51.0¢ |
| Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title? | Sports | No | $1.6k | 86.2¢ |
| Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | Sports | No | $767 | 53.0¢ |
| Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? | Sports | Yes | $683 | 41.2¢ |
| Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? | Sports | No | $551 | 70.7¢ |
| Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | Sports | No | $336 | 24.9¢ |
| Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | Sports | Yes | $130 | 72.0¢ |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? | Sports | Yes | $41 | 36.2¢ |
| Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title? | Sports | Yes | $18 | 7.2¢ |
| Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Washington Nationals win the 2026 NL East title? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? | Sports | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ |
- Yes$3.7k @ 50.1¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 36.3¢
- No$2.1k @ 51.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 86.2¢
- No$767 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$683 @ 41.2¢
- No$551 @ 70.7¢
- No$336 @ 24.9¢
- Yes$130 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 36.2¢
- Yes$18 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.1¢