0x43f7…e591

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x43f758d23c644cc30c9c5dafede449152af1e591
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-5.4pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

47% @ 51.9¢

Brier

0.244

Resolved

805

Avg size

$24

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (215/429)	+7%	429
Sports	46% (45/97)	+30%	97
Politics	67% (2/3)	+7%	3
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other429 bets
Hit rate
50% (215/429)
ROI
+7%
Sports97 bets
Hit rate
46% (45/97)
ROI
+30%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+7%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

49% hit · 262/531

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	2.1¢	Lost
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	$6	57.0¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	Anyones Legend	$8	79.0¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	$33	53.0¢	Lost
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier	Saigon Warriors	$4	42.0¢	Lost
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff	Karolina Muchova	$235	54.1¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	$20	67.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$121	70.0¢	Won
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$8	83.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$21	41.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	Gen.G	$34	86.0¢	Won
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs	Team Vitality	$8	38.0¢	Lost
Swiss Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alexander Shevchenko	Alexandre Muller	$8	41.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	$13	32.0¢	Won
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	$21	53.0¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	$29	73.0¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	$10	81.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	$20	62.0¢	Won
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group	KT Rolster Challengers	$32	45.0¢	Lost
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Portugal	$10	60.0¢	Won
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season	Dynasty	$10	31.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$21	26.5¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$20	69.0¢	Lost
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyones Legend	$19	72.0¢	Won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D	JD Gaming	$21	29.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$10	72.0¢	Won
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyones Legend	$20	39.0¢	Lost
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5	Under	$11	54.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	No	$1	61.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?	Yes	$15	21.7¢	Won
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs	TYLOO	$32	46.0¢	Won
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	$29	49.0¢	Won
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Panna Udvardy	Jelena Ostapenko	$20	82.0¢	Won
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	Yes	$36	51.1¢	Lost
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)	KT Rolster	$21	68.0¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	No	$20	40.0¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI	Hanwha Life Esports	$226	48.0¢	Won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI	T1	$20	49.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group A	Sashi Esport	$10	80.0¢	Won
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	Dplus KIA	$32	53.0¢	Won
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A	Dplus KIA	$20	50.0¢	Lost
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	T1	$60	31.5¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage	KOLESIE	$10	49.5¢	Lost
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?	No	$14	71.0¢	Won
China vs. Chinese Taipei	Chinese Taipei	$10	24.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	Gen.G	$30	60.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	$463	82.9¢	Lost
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION	$20	67.0¢	Lost
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group	Kiwoom DRX	$993	48.6¢	Won
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	No	$15	74.0¢	Won

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.1¢
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 57.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsLost
Anyones Legend$8 @ 79.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Top Esports$33 @ 53.0¢
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance QualifierLost
Saigon Warriors$4 @ 42.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco GauffWon
Karolina Muchova$235 @ 54.1¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$20 @ 67.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$121 @ 70.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$21 @ 41.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierWon
Gen.G$34 @ 86.0¢
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsLost
Team Vitality$8 @ 38.0¢
Swiss Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alexander ShevchenkoLost
Alexandre Muller$8 @ 41.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team WE$13 @ 32.0¢
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-08-14?Lost
Yes$21 @ 53.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
Bilibili Gaming$29 @ 73.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
JD Gaming$10 @ 81.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Won
Yes$20 @ 62.0¢
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupLost
KT Rolster Challengers$32 @ 45.0¢
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Won
Portugal$10 @ 60.0¢
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonLost
Dynasty$10 @ 31.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$21 @ 26.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$20 @ 69.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
Anyones Legend$19 @ 72.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DLost
JD Gaming$21 @ 29.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$10 @ 72.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLost
Anyones Legend$20 @ 39.0¢
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$11 @ 54.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Lost
No$1 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Won
Yes$15 @ 21.7¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsWon
TYLOO$32 @ 46.0¢
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-08-25?Won
Yes$29 @ 49.0¢
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Panna UdvardyWon
Jelena Ostapenko$20 @ 82.0¢
Will Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends TournamentLost
Yes$36 @ 51.1¢
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Won
KT Rolster$21 @ 68.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Lost
No$20 @ 40.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIWon
Hanwha Life Esports$226 @ 48.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSILost
T1$20 @ 49.0¢
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group AWon
Sashi Esport$10 @ 80.0¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupWon
Dplus KIA$32 @ 53.0¢
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group ALost
Dplus KIA$20 @ 50.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
T1$60 @ 31.5¢
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageLost
KOLESIE$10 @ 49.5¢
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Won
No$14 @ 71.0¢
China vs. Chinese TaipeiLost
Chinese Taipei$10 @ 24.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupLost
Gen.G$30 @ 60.0¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerLost
Top Esports$463 @ 82.9¢
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
HANJIN BRION$20 @ 67.0¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupWon
Kiwoom DRX$993 @ 48.6¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Won
No$15 @ 74.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	—	Down	$800	50.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	—	JD Gaming	$658	70.0¢
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$611	59.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	—	Up	$480	60.1¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner	—	Top Esports	$462	82.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	—	Up	$400	40.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	—	Down	$320	48.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	—	Up	$255	38.9¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	No	$245	53.2¢
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)	—	GIANTX	$241	40.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	—	Down	$237	50.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	—	KT Rolster	$221	74.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	—	Down	$200	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	—	Down	$200	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	—	Up	$200	33.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	—	Up	$200	21.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	—	Down	$199	39.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	—	Down	$193	49.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	—	Down	$157	52.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	—	Up	$150	65.8¢
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	—	G2 Esports	$138	60.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group	—	Gen.G	$104	64.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	—	Down	$103	49.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	—	JD Gaming	$102	64.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	—	Down	$101	53.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?	—	Under	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	—	Up	$100	45.0¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET—
Down$800 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend—
JD Gaming$658 @ 70.0¢
Mjällby AIF vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5—
Over$611 @ 59.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET—
Up$480 @ 60.1¢
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner—
Top Esports$462 @ 82.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET—
Up$400 @ 40.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET—
Down$320 @ 48.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET—
Up$255 @ 38.9¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
No$245 @ 53.2¢
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)—
GIANTX$241 @ 40.9¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET—
Down$237 @ 50.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs—
KT Rolster$221 @ 74.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET—
Down$200 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET—
Down$200 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET—
Up$200 @ 33.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET—
Up$200 @ 21.2¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET—
Down$199 @ 39.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET—
Down$193 @ 49.7¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET—
Down$157 @ 52.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET—
Up$150 @ 65.8¢
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)—
G2 Esports$138 @ 60.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group—
Gen.G$104 @ 64.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET—
Down$103 @ 49.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner—
JD Gaming$102 @ 64.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET—
Down$101 @ 53.0¢
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?—
Under$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET—
Up$100 @ 45.0¢