0x43eb…f17f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x43eb2ba94d3b0ed1bc241174b4993b666285f17f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.6pp

ROI

+5%

Win rate

35% @ 30.5¢

Brier

0.163

Resolved

905

Avg size

$124

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	27% (36/131)	+3%	131
Crypto	35% (12/34)	+55%	34
Politics	17% (1/6)	+60%	6
Sports	33% (1/3)	+13%	3

Other131 bets
Hit rate
27% (36/131)
ROI
+3%
Crypto34 bets
Hit rate
35% (12/34)
ROI
+55%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
+60%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+13%

Track record

29% hit · 50/174

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	No	$26	23.6¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Yes	$573	58.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?	Yes	$33	11.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 24?	Yes	$276	28.1¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	Yes	$70	70.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	Yes	$148	2.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?	No	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	$12	2.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?	Yes	$204	30.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 2?	Yes	$12	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?	Yes	$3	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?	No	$11.7k	77.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?	Yes	$2.3k	27.5¢	Lost
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28?	No	$9.7k	83.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?	No	$7	4.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?	No	$5.1k	78.3¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?	Yes	$6.1k	89.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 16?	Yes	$404	46.5¢	Won
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$121	55.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	Yes	$27	4.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 16?	Yes	$70	6.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?	No	$9	4.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 6?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?	Yes	$204	27.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 30?	Yes	$581	41.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$40	0.2¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 8?	No	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17?	Yes	$96	24.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 6?	No	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15?	Yes	$78	78.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 24?	Yes	$4	10.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 21?	Yes	$13	28.1¢	Won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$8	0.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 6?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11?	Yes	$530	24.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	No	$9	1.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 17?	No	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?	No	$140	7.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$324	11.6¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?	No	$118	16.6¢	Lost
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	No	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 21?	Yes	$21	80.8¢	Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?Won
No$26 @ 23.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?Won
Yes$573 @ 58.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 24?Lost
Yes$33 @ 11.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 24?Won
Yes$276 @ 28.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?Won
Yes$70 @ 70.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?Lost
Yes$148 @ 2.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?Lost
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?Lost
Yes$12 @ 2.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?Lost
Yes$204 @ 30.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 2?Lost
Yes$12 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?Won
No$11.7k @ 77.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 27.5¢
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Lost
No$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28?Won
No$9.7k @ 83.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?Lost
No$7 @ 4.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?Lost
No$5.1k @ 78.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?Won
Yes$6.1k @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 16?Won
Yes$404 @ 46.5¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
No$121 @ 55.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?Lost
Yes$27 @ 4.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 16?Lost
Yes$70 @ 6.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?Lost
No$9 @ 4.4¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 6?Lost
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?Lost
Yes$204 @ 27.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 30?Won
Yes$581 @ 41.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 0.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 8?Lost
No$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17?Lost
Yes$96 @ 24.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 6?Lost
No$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 15?Won
Yes$78 @ 78.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 21?Won
Yes$13 @ 28.1¢
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11?Won
Yes$530 @ 24.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?Lost
No$9 @ 1.5¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 17?Lost
No$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?Lost
No$140 @ 7.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
No$324 @ 11.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 21?Lost
No$118 @ 16.6¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Lost
No$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 21?Lost
Yes$21 @ 80.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?	Crypto	Yes	$573	58.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	Crypto	No	$26	23.6¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 25?Crypto
Yes$573 @ 58.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?Crypto
No$26 @ 23.6¢