0x43d7…c453

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x43d7e43e7b5feb51b9b6afa6a6d16df110b0c453
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.1pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

52% @ 47.9¢

Brier

0.171

Resolved

3617

Avg size

$54

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (144/297)	+7%	297
Politics	50% (38/76)	+1%	76
Sports	69% (42/61)	+16%	61
Tech	67% (4/6)	+48%	6
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+27%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+38%	1

Other297 bets
Hit rate
48% (144/297)
ROI
+7%
Politics76 bets
Hit rate
50% (38/76)
ROI
+1%
Sports61 bets
Hit rate
69% (42/61)
ROI
+16%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
+48%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+38%

Track record

52% hit · 230/442

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	$38	64.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	$43	66.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	$20	67.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	$22	22.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	$362	63.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	$102	61.5¢	Lost
Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine: O/U 2.5	Under	$17	78.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	$1.4k	78.3¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	$219	24.0¢	Lost
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5	Under	$16	53.0¢	Lost
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5	Under	$141	70.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	$1.2k	71.8¢	Won
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5	Under	$154	66.2¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	$206	68.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$121	60.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	$262	35.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	Yes	$370	59.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	$93	77.3¢	Won
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5	Under	$64	63.0¢	Won
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-30?	No	$236	78.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	$1.3k	56.9¢	Won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Under	$99	57.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	No	$1.4k	67.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	Yes	$327	29.7¢	Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5	Under	$33	65.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?	No	$27	53.0¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	Yes	$174	58.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	$81	39.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	$65	63.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	$558	61.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	$231	70.7¢	Lost
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers Challengers	$17	20.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	$1.4k	83.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	$341	22.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$3.1k	66.2¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	15.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	$1.9k	81.7¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	$127	23.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	$63	77.4¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	$68	12.2¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$70	52.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	$838	79.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	$76	15.9¢	Lost
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 3.5	Under	$69	65.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	$18	2.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	$304	24.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	No	$380	76.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	$89	9.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	$56	75.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	$465	19.1¢	Lost

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Won
Yes$38 @ 64.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Won
No$43 @ 66.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Lost
Yes$22 @ 22.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Won
No$362 @ 63.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$102 @ 61.5¢
Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine: O/U 2.5Won
Under$17 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Won
No$1.4k @ 78.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$219 @ 24.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Lost
Under$16 @ 53.0¢
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5Won
Under$141 @ 70.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Won
No$1.2k @ 71.8¢
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Won
Under$154 @ 66.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Won
No$206 @ 68.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$121 @ 60.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Won
No$262 @ 35.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$370 @ 59.6¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Won
No$93 @ 77.3¢
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5Won
Under$64 @ 63.0¢
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-30?Won
No$236 @ 78.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 56.9¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Won
Under$99 @ 57.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Won
No$1.4k @ 67.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Lost
Yes$327 @ 29.7¢
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Lost
Under$33 @ 65.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?Lost
No$27 @ 53.0¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?Won
Yes$174 @ 58.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Lost
No$81 @ 39.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Won
Yes$65 @ 63.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Won
No$558 @ 61.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$231 @ 70.7¢
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Lost
DN SOOPers Challengers$17 @ 20.6¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Lost
No$1.4k @ 83.4¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Won
Yes$341 @ 22.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Won
No$3.1k @ 66.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 15.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Won
No$1.9k @ 81.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$127 @ 23.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Won
No$63 @ 77.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$68 @ 12.2¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$70 @ 52.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Won
No$838 @ 79.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$76 @ 15.9¢
El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$69 @ 65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 2.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Won
Yes$304 @ 24.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?Won
No$380 @ 76.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$89 @ 9.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Won
No$56 @ 75.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$465 @ 19.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	No	$46	65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$35	38.9¢

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
No$46 @ 65.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$35 @ 38.9¢