0x43cc…9211

Specialization by sphere

• Other89 bets

  Hit rate

  78% (69/89)

  ROI

  +20%

• Politics22 bets

  Hit rate

  86% (19/22)

  ROI

  +23%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -18%

• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Won
  Yes$215 @ 63.9¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Lost
  No$50 @ 0.8¢
• 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Won
  No$228 @ 76.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$837 @ 83.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
  No$470 @ 32.0¢
• Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?Won
  No$359 @ 88.8¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Won
  No$1.5k @ 67.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$225 @ 75.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Won
  No$1.2k @ 56.8¢
• Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?Won
  Yes$406 @ 89.0¢
• Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?Won
  No$291 @ 72.7¢
• Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 52.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Won
  No$248 @ 82.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Won
  No$203 @ 76.4¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$358 @ 76.4¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
  Yes$243 @ 63.2¢
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
  No$123 @ 25.4¢
• Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Lost
  No$52 @ 52.0¢
• Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?Won
  No$225 @ 83.4¢
• Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?Lost
  Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
• Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$140 @ 70.0¢
• Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Lost
  Yes$151 @ 77.0¢
• Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Lost
  No$10 @ 35.0¢
• Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Lost
  No$208 @ 81.5¢
• Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?Lost
  No$238 @ 64.9¢
• Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?Lost
  No$75 @ 43.7¢
• Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?Won
  No$1.1k @ 87.5¢
• Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Lost
  No$157 @ 73.5¢
• Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Won
  No$40 @ 89.0¢
• Andrii Yermak arrested by December 31?Won
  No$255 @ 85.0¢
• Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?Won
  Yes$191 @ 77.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Won
  No$168 @ 84.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?Won
  No$107 @ 87.0¢
• Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 25.0¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$87 @ 87.0¢
• Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?Won
  No$70 @ 36.6¢
• Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?Lost
  No$10 @ 10.0¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?Won
  No$2.1k @ 83.1¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Won
  No$64 @ 60.5¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Won
  No$425 @ 85.0¢
• Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30?Won
  No$368 @ 86.0¢
• Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by December 31?Won
  No$273 @ 85.5¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Lost
  No$24 @ 48.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Won
  Yes$557 @ 57.3¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Lost
  No$13 @ 32.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Won
  Yes$2.0k @ 83.9¢
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$125 @ 47.2¢
• Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?Lost
  No$1.5k @ 87.8¢
• Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 49.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?Won
  No$120 @ 26.4¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 94.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$724 @ 70.3¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$616 @ 88.0¢
• European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Politics
  No$541 @ 91.0¢
• U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Politics
  No$379 @ 94.8¢
• Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$364 @ 91.0¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$362 @ 78.9¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$353 @ 43.0¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$346 @ 78.1¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$333 @ 92.4¢
• Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?Politics
  No$316 @ 95.9¢
• Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Politics
  No$314 @ 92.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$307 @ 73.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$301 @ 81.1¢
• Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics
  No$292 @ 88.4¢
• Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Politics
  No$289 @ 92.2¢
• Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics
  No$285 @ 92.2¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics
  No$285 @ 95.0¢
• Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$282 @ 90.7¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$274 @ 68.5¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$270 @ 90.0¢
• Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Politics
  No$258 @ 86.0¢
• Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$255 @ 95.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$234 @ 78.0¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$231 @ 74.0¢
• Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$222 @ 92.6¢
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$213 @ 92.4¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$210 @ 70.0¢
• NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$209 @ 93.9¢
• Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics
  No$208 @ 93.0¢