0x43cb…4bcc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x43cb36188b01eb6a75a17282f6d38aab81a14bcc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+3.1pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

39% @ 35.8¢

Brier

0.209

Resolved

4713

Avg size

$258

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (396/1122)	+3%	1122
Sports	49% (25/51)	+39%	51
Politics	50% (1/2)	+51%	2

Other1122 bets
Hit rate
35% (396/1122)
ROI
+3%
Sports51 bets
Hit rate
49% (25/51)
ROI
+39%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+51%

Track record

36% hit · 422/1175

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	$100	24.0¢	Lost
Magic vs. Clippers	Magic	$100	60.0¢	Lost
Bulls vs. Pacers	Bulls	$320	56.0¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Rockets	Rockets	$61	61.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$5.5k	33.8¢	Lost
Knicks vs. Warriors	Knicks	$1	31.0¢	Lost
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?	Yes	$511	7.7¢	Lost
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?	Yes	$747	41.4¢	Won
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks	Trail Blazers	$198	23.4¢	Lost
Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?	Yes	$50	0.9¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$204	35.0¢	Won
Bulls vs. Magic	Bulls	$18	24.0¢	Won
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?	Yes	$300	33.0¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$200	59.4¢	Lost
Twins vs. Mariners	Mariners	$150	53.0¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$1.2k	5.5¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Kings	Lakers	$235	52.2¢	Won
Pistons vs. Wizards	Wizards	$100	6.0¢	Lost
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04?	Yes	$18	9.0¢	Lost
Will Ipswich Town win on 2026-08-04?	Yes	$102	51.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Lakers	Lakers	$1	66.0¢	Lost
Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?	Yes	$1.5k	34.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?	Yes	$50	69.1¢	Won
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	$518	27.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?	Yes	$1000	56.0¢	Lost
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$21	3.5¢	Lost
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?	Yes	$4.0k	33.9¢	Won
Bulls vs. Knicks	Bulls	$1.6k	42.6¢	Won
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?	Yes	$1000	22.0¢	Won
Will Spurs vs. Villa end in a draw?	Yes	$35	41.8¢	Lost
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?	Yes	$100	0.2¢	Lost
Will Inter Milan beat Arsenal?	Yes	$30	40.0¢	Won
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$104	18.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	No	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?	Yes	$400	56.0¢	Won
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Kansas State Wildcats	Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	$20	1.7¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$200	59.7¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$1.6k	59.7¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?	Yes	$1000	19.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?	90k	$189	17.9¢	Lost
Celtics vs. Knicks	Celtics	$100	38.0¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	$10	6.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $120 by February 28 2025?	Yes	$1	7.4¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$101	54.0¢	Lost
Lions vs. Packers	Packers	$30	46.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?	No	$60	5.4¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$67	67.0¢	Won
Bulls vs. Spurs	Bulls	$10	9.0¢	Lost
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?	Yes	$250	23.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$411	42.8¢	Lost

Celtics vs. 76ersLost
76ers$100 @ 24.0¢
Magic vs. ClippersLost
Magic$100 @ 60.0¢
Bulls vs. PacersLost
Bulls$320 @ 56.0¢
Grizzlies vs. RocketsWon
Rockets$61 @ 61.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
Yes$5.5k @ 33.8¢
Knicks vs. WarriorsLost
Knicks$1 @ 31.0¢
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?Lost
Yes$511 @ 7.7¢
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?Won
Yes$747 @ 41.4¢
Trail Blazers vs. KnicksLost
Trail Blazers$198 @ 23.4¢
Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?Lost
Yes$50 @ 0.9¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$204 @ 35.0¢
Bulls vs. MagicWon
Bulls$18 @ 24.0¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?Won
Yes$300 @ 33.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
Yes$200 @ 59.4¢
Twins vs. MarinersWon
Mariners$150 @ 53.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 5.5¢
Lakers vs. KingsWon
Lakers$235 @ 52.2¢
Pistons vs. WizardsLost
Wizards$100 @ 6.0¢
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04?Lost
Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
Will Ipswich Town win on 2026-08-04?Won
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Suns vs. LakersLost
Lakers$1 @ 66.0¢
Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 34.0¢
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?Won
Yes$50 @ 69.1¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?Lost
Yes$518 @ 27.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 56.0¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$21 @ 3.5¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 33.9¢
Bulls vs. KnicksWon
Bulls$1.6k @ 42.6¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Won
Yes$1000 @ 22.0¢
Will Spurs vs. Villa end in a draw?Lost
Yes$35 @ 41.8¢
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$100 @ 0.2¢
Will Inter Milan beat Arsenal?Won
Yes$30 @ 40.0¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$104 @ 18.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Lost
No$100 @ 10.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?Won
Yes$400 @ 56.0¢
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Kansas State WildcatsLost
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils$20 @ 1.7¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$200 @ 59.7¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 59.7¢
Will Real Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 19.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?Lost
90k$189 @ 17.9¢
Celtics vs. KnicksLost
Celtics$100 @ 38.0¢
Thunder vs. LakersLost
Lakers$10 @ 6.0¢
Will Solana dip to $120 by February 28 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.4¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$101 @ 54.0¢
Lions vs. PackersLost
Packers$30 @ 46.0¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?Lost
No$60 @ 5.4¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Won
Yes$67 @ 67.0¢
Bulls vs. SpursLost
Bulls$10 @ 9.0¢
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?Lost
Yes$250 @ 23.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$411 @ 42.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?	—	Yes	$8.0k	46.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	—	Yes	$6.9k	45.0¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?	—	Yes	$1.2k	25.0¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Sports	Yes	$1.1k	22.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	—	Up	$1.0k	16.6¢
76ers vs. Celtics	Sports	76ers	$997	33.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET	—	Down	$916	14.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	—	Down	$908	38.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	—	Up	$800	48.8¢
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11?	Sports	Yes	$800	42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET	—	Down	$800	18.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET	—	Up	$712	17.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$600	56.9¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17?	Sports	Yes	$600	13.5¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?	—	Yes	$548	55.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	Yes	$541	40.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5	—	Under	$500	50.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder	—	Spurs	$500	32.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Sports	Yes	$500	54.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	—	Yes	$500	49.1¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	—	Argentina	$500	40.9¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?	—	Yes	$500	51.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12?	—	Yes	$500	27.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	Sports	Yes	$500	27.0¢
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?	—	Yes	$461	15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3AM ET	—	Down	$450	41.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET	—	Down	$405	38.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	—	Yes	$402	24.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$400	42.8¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 7.5	Sports	Over	$400	53.5¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?—
Yes$8.0k @ 46.8¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?—
Yes$6.9k @ 45.0¢
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?—
Yes$1.2k @ 25.0¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?Sports
Yes$1.1k @ 22.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET—
Up$1.0k @ 16.6¢
76ers vs. CelticsSports
76ers$997 @ 33.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET—
Down$916 @ 14.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET—
Down$908 @ 38.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET—
Up$800 @ 48.8¢
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-11?Sports
Yes$800 @ 42.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4AM ET—
Down$800 @ 18.8¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7AM ET—
Up$712 @ 17.8¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$600 @ 56.9¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17?Sports
Yes$600 @ 13.5¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?—
Yes$548 @ 55.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports
Yes$541 @ 40.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5—
Under$500 @ 50.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder—
Spurs$500 @ 32.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Sports
Yes$500 @ 54.0¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?—
Yes$500 @ 49.1¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance—
Argentina$500 @ 40.9¢
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?—
Yes$500 @ 51.0¢
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12?—
Yes$500 @ 27.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?Sports
Yes$500 @ 27.0¢
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?—
Yes$461 @ 15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3AM ET—
Down$450 @ 41.6¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET—
Down$405 @ 38.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?—
Yes$402 @ 24.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$400 @ 42.8¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 7.5Sports
Over$400 @ 53.5¢