0x43bd…beda

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x43bd51535d5af64988bd63393ee52a49d563beda
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+1.7pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

48% @ 46.1¢

Brier

0.207

Resolved

6712

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	51% (1380/2725)	+4%	2725
Other	43% (184/431)	+4%	431
Politics	52% (34/66)	-4%	66

Science2725 bets
Hit rate
51% (1380/2725)
ROI
+4%
Other431 bets
Hit rate
43% (184/431)
ROI
+4%
Politics66 bets
Hit rate
52% (34/66)
ROI
-4%

Track record

50% hit · 1598/3222

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	$2	27.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 16?	Yes	$3	21.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 17?	No	$1	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20?	Yes	$5	31.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 15?	No	$3	76.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	$4	80.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 2?	No	$1	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?	No	$5	52.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2?	No	$2	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	$2	56.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	No	$6	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?	Yes	$13	46.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?	No	$7	28.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	$3	51.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 16?	No	$1	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18?	Yes	$2	20.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	$1	46.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?	Yes	$1	58.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 24?	No	$3	61.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?	No	$9	81.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 28?	No	$1	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16?	Yes	$3	14.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 14?	No	$3	85.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?	Yes	$3	48.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	$2	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	$4	46.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?	Yes	$4	61.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 16?	No	$2	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	$4	33.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?	No	$1	47.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?	Yes	$3	43.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?	No	$1	63.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	$1	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	$2	25.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?	No	$0	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?	No	$2	69.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	$8	27.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?	No	$19	70.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 21?	Yes	$0	8.0¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 19?	Yes	$2	31.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 24?	No	$6	82.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?	No	$1	54.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	$4	30.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?	Yes	$5	59.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5?	No	$6	66.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22?	No	$1	61.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 21.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 17?Won
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 20?Won
Yes$5 @ 31.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 15?Won
No$3 @ 76.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?Won
No$4 @ 80.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 2?Won
No$1 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 28?Lost
No$5 @ 52.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 2?Won
No$2 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?Won
Yes$2 @ 56.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?Won
No$6 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?Won
Yes$13 @ 46.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 15?Won
No$7 @ 28.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 21?Won
Yes$3 @ 51.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 16?Won
No$1 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?Won
No$1 @ 46.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 22?Won
Yes$1 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 24?Won
No$3 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?Won
No$9 @ 81.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 28?Won
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or below on September 16?Lost
Yes$3 @ 14.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 14?Won
No$3 @ 85.3¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?Won
Yes$3 @ 48.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 16?Lost
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Won
Yes$4 @ 46.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?Won
Yes$4 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 16?Won
No$2 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?Won
Yes$4 @ 33.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Won
No$1 @ 47.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 43.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?Won
No$1 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 18?Won
Yes$1 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 27?Won
No$0 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?Won
No$2 @ 69.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?Lost
Yes$8 @ 27.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5?Lost
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 21?Won
No$19 @ 70.6¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 24?Won
No$6 @ 82.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?Won
No$1 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?Won
Yes$4 @ 30.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 22?Won
Yes$5 @ 59.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 5?Won
No$6 @ 66.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 22?Lost
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22?Won
No$1 @ 61.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?	Politics	No	$51	55.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16?	Science	No	$33	62.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Science	No	$32	76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?	Science	No	$30	51.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?	Science	No	$25	60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?	Science	Yes	$24	43.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 9?	Science	No	$24	66.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 12?	—	Yes	$22	29.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?	Science	No	$21	61.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 16?	Science	No	$19	82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Science	No	$19	78.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?	Science	Yes	$19	33.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?	Science	Yes	$18	54.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?	Science	No	$18	73.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?	Science	Yes	$17	27.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Science	No	$17	79.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12?	Science	Yes	$17	39.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 11?	—	Yes	$16	25.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 14?	Science	Yes	$16	43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 14?	Science	Yes	$16	31.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	—	Yes	$16	54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?	Science	No	$16	61.4¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6?	Science	Yes	$15	48.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	—	Yes	$15	62.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?	Science	No	$15	61.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9?	Science	Yes	$15	39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?	Science	Yes	$14	51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 24?	Science	No	$14	68.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?	Science	Yes	$13	56.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?	Science	Yes	$13	45.8¢

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?Politics
No$51 @ 55.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16?Science
No$33 @ 62.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?Science
No$32 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?Science
No$30 @ 51.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?Science
No$25 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 26?Science
Yes$24 @ 43.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 9?Science
No$24 @ 66.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 12?—
Yes$22 @ 29.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?Science
No$21 @ 61.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 16?Science
No$19 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 5?Science
No$19 @ 78.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on October 25?Science
Yes$19 @ 33.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?Science
Yes$18 @ 54.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 1?Science
No$18 @ 73.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 15?Science
Yes$17 @ 27.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?Science
No$17 @ 79.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12?Science
Yes$17 @ 39.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 11?—
Yes$16 @ 25.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 14?Science
Yes$16 @ 43.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 14?Science
Yes$16 @ 31.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?—
Yes$16 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 16?Science
No$16 @ 61.4¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6?Science
Yes$15 @ 48.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?—
Yes$15 @ 62.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?Science
No$15 @ 61.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9?Science
Yes$15 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 20?Science
Yes$14 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 24?Science
No$14 @ 68.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?Science
Yes$13 @ 56.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 26?Science
Yes$13 @ 45.8¢