← Smart money
0x43b4…ec9c
SharpEdge
+7.1pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
20% @ 13.2¢
Brier
0.050
Resolved
1398
Avg size
$27
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 25% (13/51) | +22% | 51 |
| Sports | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +54% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +25% | 1 |
- Other51 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (13/51)
- ROI
- +22%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +54%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
26% hit · 16/61- Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
- No$50 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$120 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 36.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
- No$32 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$120 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$515 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$803 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$521 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$88 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
- No$33 @ 60.5¢
- No$156 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$200 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$300 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$60 @ 20.0¢
- No$3.7k @ 67.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 1.7¢
- Yes$14 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 67.4¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$617 @ 6.0¢
- Belgium$226 @ 27.8¢
- Yes$380 @ 0.6¢
- No$2.6k @ 54.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
- No$331 @ 73.0¢
- No$865 @ 80.0¢
- No$61 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3.9k @ 89.8¢
- Yes$27 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 49.5¢
- Yes$15 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$120 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$222 @ 83.3¢
- Yes$120 @ 0.6¢
- No$194 @ 83.4¢
- Yes$120 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$8.9k @ 83.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?GeopoliticsNo$32.6k @ 92.8¢
- No$16.9k @ 69.0¢
- No$14.4k @ 89.0¢
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$13.0k @ 93.7¢
- No$6.7k @ 92.3¢
- No$4.8k @ 96.9¢
- No$4.4k @ 92.5¢
- No$4.2k @ 91.9¢
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.4k @ 93.5¢
- No$956 @ 88.0¢
- No$202 @ 88.0¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$164 @ 90.0¢
- No$38 @ 85.0¢
- No$31 @ 86.0¢
- No$21 @ 83.0¢
- No$8 @ 80.0¢
- No$8 @ 96.0¢