← Smart money
0x43b1…4e26
ProfitableEdge
+28.4pp
ROI
+141%
Win rate
53% @ 24.5¢
Brier
0.290
Resolved
102
Avg size
$17
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 56% (9/16) | +282% | 16 |
| Tech | 14% (1/7) | -6% | 7 |
| Politics | 50% (3/6) | +15% | 6 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +146% | 1 |
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (9/16)
- ROI
- +282%
- Tech7 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (1/7)
- ROI
- -6%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +15%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +146%
Track record
47% hit · 14/30- Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 39.7¢
- Yes$12 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 19.5¢
- Yes$557 @ 20.3¢
- No$23 @ 7.7¢
- No$381 @ 26.7¢
- No$18 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 20.0¢
- No$67 @ 13.0¢
- Argentina$2 @ 46.5¢
- No$48 @ 23.6¢
- No$208 @ 40.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Over$1 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 15.8¢
- No$98 @ 65.0¢
- No$45 @ 44.2¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$76 @ 77.0¢
- Legacy$7 @ 47.0¢
- France$1 @ 37.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 40.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $115 | 28.8¢ |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $114 | 21.7¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $91 | 70.0¢ |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $69 | 34.4¢ |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $64 | 32.0¢ |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Tech | No | $53 | 53.0¢ |
- No$115 @ 28.8¢
- Yes$114 @ 21.7¢
- Yes$91 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 34.4¢
- Yes$64 @ 32.0¢
- No$53 @ 53.0¢