← Smart money
0x43a4…01dc
ProfitableEdge
+17.6pp
ROI
+28%
Win rate
62% @ 44.2¢
Brier
0.268
Resolved
897
Avg size
$26
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 46% (13/28) | +32% | 28 |
| Politics | 43% (3/7) | -3% | 7 |
| Other | 60% (3/5) | +9% | 5 |
- Sports28 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (13/28)
- ROI
- +32%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- -3%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +9%
Track record
48% hit · 19/40- Spirit$4 @ 36.1¢
- No$991 @ 37.6¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 63.4¢
- No$181 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$45 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$81 @ 8.0¢
- No$842 @ 49.5¢
- Yes$330 @ 55.0¢
- No$502 @ 35.3¢
- Yes$898 @ 67.9¢
- No$3.4k @ 67.4¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 33.3¢
- No$9 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 53.3¢
- No$80 @ 10.3¢
- No$520 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 51.9¢
- No$5 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- No$18 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
- No$190 @ 70.2¢
- Yes$65 @ 35.2¢
- No$2.2k @ 84.9¢
- Yes$407 @ 13.6¢
- No$1.2k @ 33.1¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 67.6¢
- No$1.9k @ 54.5¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 43.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$153 @ 76.0¢
- No$15 @ 29.8¢
- Yes$39 @ 77.8¢
- No$47 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$19 @ 4.8¢
- No$1.4k @ 70.6¢
- Yes$420 @ 27.2¢
- No$35 @ 69.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Politics | No | $191 | 91.0¢ |
- No$191 @ 91.0¢