← Smart money
0x437b…0ba4
SharpEdge
+2.8pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
58% @ 55.5¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
1815
Avg size
$90
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (307/571) | +12% | 571 |
| Sports | 21% (4/19) | -71% | 19 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +14% | 1 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +67% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
- Other571 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (307/571)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports19 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (4/19)
- ROI
- -71%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +14%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +67%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
53% hit · 314/594- JD Gaming$197 @ 82.2¢
- Over$80 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 55.0¢
- Seahawks$126 @ 87.6¢
- Over$53 @ 53.0¢
- Will Wales win?LostYes$41 @ 9.0¢
- Louisville$653 @ 76.0¢
- Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition$195 @ 39.0¢
- LOS$265 @ 53.0¢
- JD Gaming$285 @ 57.0¢
- Gen.G$87 @ 87.0¢
- Weibo Gaming$107 @ 53.5¢
- No$128 @ 52.3¢
- RED Canids$16 @ 8.3¢
- Over$26 @ 51.0¢
- Bilibili Gaming$195 @ 65.0¢
- Eagles$29 @ 57.0¢
- Thunder vs. SunsLostThunder$101 @ 78.0¢
- Under$110 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$270 @ 89.0¢
- Gen.G$488 @ 67.7¢
- Dplus KIA Challengers$130 @ 61.2¢
- T1 Academy$345 @ 57.4¢
- Cowboys$43 @ 43.0¢
- Timberwolves$69 @ 65.0¢
- RED Canids$480 @ 64.0¢
- Bulls$50 @ 50.0¢
- Monte$43 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$996 @ 68.8¢
- Galions$63 @ 43.0¢
- Under$31 @ 50.0¢
- Weibo Gaming$38 @ 38.0¢
- Under$152 @ 49.0¢
- Under$29 @ 51.0¢
- Under$292 @ 50.0¢
- Pelicans$233 @ 38.0¢
- JD Gaming$257 @ 75.0¢
- Wild$250 @ 50.0¢
- No$50 @ 89.6¢
- Magic vs. 76ersLostMagic$158 @ 63.0¢
- Magic$260 @ 52.0¢
- Delaware Fightin Blue Hens$78 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 45.0¢
- Gen.G$335 @ 67.0¢
- Miami Hurricanes$525 @ 52.5¢
- Indiana$825 @ 75.0¢
- Heat$9.9k @ 79.6¢
- Bilibili Gaming$499 @ 76.8¢
- Raptors$50 @ 50.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Sports | Yes | $112 | 16.0¢ |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Crypto | No | $108 | 92.2¢ |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027? | Crypto | No | $51 | 91.0¢ |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | Culture | Yes | $42 | 51.0¢ |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Sports | Yes | $29 | 33.0¢ |
| Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $26 | 24.9¢ |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Sports | Yes | $23 | 22.8¢ |
| Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? | Crypto | Yes | $22 | 32.7¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $16 | 81.8¢ |
| Will Cristopher Sanchez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | Sports | Yes | $12 | 8.9¢ |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? | Politics | No | $10 | 97.3¢ |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Culture | Yes | $4 | 4.4¢ |
- Yes$112 @ 16.0¢
- No$108 @ 92.2¢
- No$51 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 24.9¢
- Yes$23 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$22 @ 32.7¢
- No$16 @ 81.8¢
- Yes$12 @ 8.9¢
- No$10 @ 97.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.4¢