0x437b…1d11

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x437b8749ebbc7dda4d64079d27573b32ab441d11
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-18.9pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

16% @ 35.4¢

Brier

0.214

Resolved

Avg size

$204

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (7/22)	-64%	22
Sports	33% (1/3)	+402%	3
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other22 bets
Hit rate
32% (7/22)
ROI
-64%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+402%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

31% hit · 8/26

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$306	11.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	Yes	$174	39.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	Yes	$9	5.2¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$38	60.0¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	Yes	$200	10.2¢	Lost
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	$85	1.9¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	$5.5k	52.1¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$48	78.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$170	39.0¢	Won
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	$504	50.0¢	Lost
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?	Yes	$100	15.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.0k	16.8¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 9-15?	Yes	$100	24.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	Yes	$595	54.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?	Yes	$190	28.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$141	57.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?	Yes	$38	16.6¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.0k	49.9¢	Lost
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?	Yes	$57	6.1¢	Lost
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$6	11.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?	Yes	$125	13.3¢	Lost
Will Brighton and Hove Albion WFC win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	$52	31.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	Yes	$986	63.4¢	Won
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	$31	4.2¢	Lost
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-15?	Yes	$57	50.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	Yes	$199	24.0¢	Lost

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$306 @ 11.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Won
Yes$174 @ 39.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Won
Yes$9 @ 5.2¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$38 @ 60.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$200 @ 10.2¢
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?Lost
Yes$85 @ 1.9¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?Lost
Yes$5.5k @ 52.1¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$48 @ 78.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$170 @ 39.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?Lost
Yes$504 @ 50.0¢
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?Lost
Yes$100 @ 15.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 16.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 9-15?Lost
Yes$100 @ 24.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Lost
Yes$595 @ 54.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Won
Yes$190 @ 28.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$141 @ 57.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?Lost
Yes$38 @ 16.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 49.9¢
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in February?Lost
Yes$57 @ 6.1¢
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?Lost
Yes$125 @ 13.3¢
Will Brighton and Hove Albion WFC win on 2026-09-26?Lost
Yes$52 @ 31.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Won
Yes$986 @ 63.4¢
Will the US strike Iran next?Lost
Yes$31 @ 4.2¢
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-15?Lost
Yes$57 @ 50.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Lost
Yes$199 @ 24.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$7.4k	9.7¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$5.3k	13.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	64.0¢
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$3	73.0¢

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$7.4k @ 9.7¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$5.3k @ 13.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 64.0¢
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$3 @ 73.0¢