0x4366…c73e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4366ab8b8b27e4139d94a532e3cec94a83d1c73e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.3pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

35% @ 31.4¢

Brier

0.179

Resolved

4694

Avg size

$131

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (210/484)	+10%	484
Sports	42% (10/24)	+90%	24
Politics	17% (1/6)	-90%	6
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+29%	1

Other484 bets
Hit rate
43% (210/484)
ROI
+10%
Sports24 bets
Hit rate
42% (10/24)
ROI
+90%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-90%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+29%

Track record

43% hit · 222/517

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)	Memphis	$1.0k	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)	North Carolina State	$490	49.0¢	Won
Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-5.5)	Chicago State Cougars	$2.7k	52.9¢	Won
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 166.5	Under	$1.2k	49.0¢	Won
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5	Over	$155	28.0¢	Lost
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5	Under	$4.9k	49.0¢	Lost
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-11?	No	$690	69.0¢	Won
Toledo vs. Louisville	Toledo	$830	20.8¢	Lost
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-28?	No	$435	29.0¢	Lost
Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bison: O/U 131.5	Under	$1	52.0¢	Lost
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	$954	53.0¢	Won
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 130.5	Over	$240	48.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2.0k	33.0¢	Lost
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?	No	$245	22.5¢	Lost
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)	Clippers	$732	48.8¢	Won
Flyers vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$1.8k	52.6¢	Lost
Utah vs. Islanders	Islanders	$830	47.4¢	Lost
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?	Yes	$2.3k	38.0¢	Won
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)	Elon Phoenix	$1.1k	48.0¢	Won
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)	Hofstra Pride	$2.8k	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	$222	31.7¢	Lost
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-15.5)	Saint Marys Gaels	$1.0k	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)	Eagles	$1.3k	51.0¢	Lost
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?	No	$5	0.9¢	Lost
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?	No	$1.1k	27.0¢	Won
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	45.0¢	Won
Timberwolves vs. Bulls	Bulls	$330	33.0¢	Lost
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-17?	No	$1.7k	48.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$2.8k	61.7¢	Lost
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?	Yes	$360	12.0¢	Lost
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	$181	6.5¢	Lost
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 156.5	Over	$3.1k	48.0¢	Won
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?	No	$720	24.0¢	Lost
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)	Timberwolves	$88	44.0¢	Won
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	$189	53.0¢	Won
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$174	2.3¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?	No	$980	13.1¢	Lost
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-8.5)	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	$3.4k	48.3¢	Won
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?	No	$120	16.0¢	Lost
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?	No	$1.7k	58.0¢	Won
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5	Over	$227	46.0¢	Won
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)	Morgan State Bears	$1.2k	49.0¢	Lost
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Red	Cornell Big Red	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$26	0.4¢	Lost
Blackhawks vs. Blues	Blues	$873	49.7¢	Won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)	Spurs	$134	44.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	Yes	$504	24.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?	Yes	$21	2.1¢	Lost
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	$23	36.7¢	Lost
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)	Qarabağ Ağdam FK	$1.6k	52.0¢	Lost

Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)Lost
Memphis$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)Won
North Carolina State$490 @ 49.0¢
Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-5.5)Won
Chicago State Cougars$2.7k @ 52.9¢
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 166.5Won
Under$1.2k @ 49.0¢
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$155 @ 28.0¢
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5Lost
Under$4.9k @ 49.0¢
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-11?Won
No$690 @ 69.0¢
Toledo vs. LouisvilleLost
Toledo$830 @ 20.8¢
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-28?Lost
No$435 @ 29.0¢
Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bison: O/U 131.5Lost
Under$1 @ 52.0¢
Penguins vs. Maple LeafsWon
Maple Leafs$954 @ 53.0¢
Maine Black Bears vs. NJIT Highlanders: O/U 130.5Won
Over$240 @ 48.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2.0k @ 33.0¢
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?Lost
No$245 @ 22.5¢
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Won
Clippers$732 @ 48.8¢
Flyers vs. CanadiensLost
Canadiens$1.8k @ 52.6¢
Utah vs. IslandersLost
Islanders$830 @ 47.4¢
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 38.0¢
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)Won
Elon Phoenix$1.1k @ 48.0¢
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-5.5)Lost
Hofstra Pride$2.8k @ 50.0¢
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lost
Canadiens$222 @ 31.7¢
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-15.5)Lost
Saint Marys Gaels$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)Lost
Eagles$1.3k @ 51.0¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Lost
No$5 @ 0.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Won
No$1.1k @ 27.0¢
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Won
Under$5 @ 45.0¢
Timberwolves vs. BullsLost
Bulls$330 @ 33.0¢
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-17?Won
No$1.7k @ 48.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 61.7¢
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?Lost
Yes$360 @ 12.0¢
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Lost
Yes$181 @ 6.5¢
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 156.5Won
Over$3.1k @ 48.0¢
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?Lost
No$720 @ 24.0¢
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Won
Timberwolves$88 @ 44.0¢
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Won
Over$189 @ 53.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$174 @ 2.3¢
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?Lost
No$980 @ 13.1¢
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-8.5)Won
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers$3.4k @ 48.3¢
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?Lost
No$120 @ 16.0¢
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?Won
No$1.7k @ 58.0¢
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Won
Over$227 @ 46.0¢
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)Lost
Morgan State Bears$1.2k @ 49.0¢
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big RedLost
Cornell Big Red$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
Yes$26 @ 0.4¢
Blackhawks vs. BluesWon
Blues$873 @ 49.7¢
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Won
Spurs$134 @ 44.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?Lost
Yes$504 @ 24.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Lost
Yes$21 @ 2.1¢
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?Lost
Yes$23 @ 36.7¢
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Lost
Qarabağ Ağdam FK$1.6k @ 52.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$7.6k	38.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$3.2k	96.4¢
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Politics	No	$3.0k	97.5¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$1.4k	4.8¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$695	1.4¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$490	4.3¢
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$203	0.4¢
Falcons vs. Saints	Sports	Falcons	$96	48.0¢
Falcons vs. Saints	Sports	Saints	$54	53.0¢

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$7.6k @ 38.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$3.2k @ 96.4¢
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics
No$3.0k @ 97.5¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$1.4k @ 4.8¢
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$695 @ 1.4¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$490 @ 4.3¢
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
Yes$203 @ 0.4¢
Falcons vs. SaintsSports
Falcons$96 @ 48.0¢
Falcons vs. SaintsSports
Saints$54 @ 53.0¢