← Smart money
0x4344…f90d
ProfitableEdge
+31.7pp
ROI
+239%
Win rate
51% @ 19.5¢
Brier
0.322
Resolved
268
Avg size
$102
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 43% (13/30) | +292% | 30 |
| Politics | 80% (4/5) | +18% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
- Other30 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (13/30)
- ROI
- +292%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +18%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
Track record
46% hit · 18/39- No$2.2k @ 89.0¢
- No$161 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.9¢
- No$268 @ 75.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 1.5¢
- No$604 @ 39.2¢
- No$94 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 47.3¢
- Yes$412 @ 1.8¢
- No$1.6k @ 60.0¢
- No$192 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$222 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$367 @ 3.3¢
- No$769 @ 17.5¢
- No$20 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$322 @ 29.0¢
- No$611 @ 45.0¢
- No$623 @ 35.6¢
- Yes$266 @ 66.5¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 74.0¢
- No$149 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 7.4¢
- No$46 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$751 @ 16.5¢
- No$100 @ 9.0¢
- No$299 @ 20.2¢
- Yes$133 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$525 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$157 @ 15.7¢
- Yes$178 @ 8.4¢
- No$140 @ 68.9¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 8.2¢
- No$3.6k @ 40.0¢
- Yes$243 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$193 @ 20.9¢
- No$5.0k @ 92.5¢
- No$19.8k @ 99.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$100.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$100.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 89.8¢
- No$2.4k @ 19.8¢
- No$1.6k @ 68.2¢
- No$1.3k @ 58.0¢
- No$987 @ 63.4¢
- No$835 @ 86.7¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?GeopoliticsYes$644 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$638 @ 29.5¢
- No$598 @ 37.0¢
- No$566 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$483 @ 17.7¢
- No$478 @ 93.9¢
- Yes$408 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$393 @ 11.9¢
- No$321 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$287 @ 13.3¢
- No$262 @ 13.4¢
- No$244 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$189 @ 15.2¢
- Yes$115 @ 10.4¢
- Yes$96 @ 9.6¢
- No$90 @ 74.4¢
- Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 20.3¢
- Yes$64 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$56 @ 14.7¢
- Yes$48 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 11.0¢