0x42e6…8e78

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x42e6583f6f87215f489b9ed06ce55b7bc61a8e78
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.4pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

55% @ 48.5¢

Brier

0.184

Resolved

541

Avg size

$45

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (124/203)	+14%	203
Culture	45% (5/11)	-29%	11
Politics	50% (1/2)	+65%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+10%	1

Other203 bets
Hit rate
61% (124/203)
ROI
+14%
Culture11 bets
Hit rate
45% (5/11)
ROI
-29%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+65%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+10%

Track record

60% hit · 131/217

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	$48	24.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?	No	$860	90.5¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	$635	51.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?	Yes	$84	72.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?	Yes	$131	26.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?	90k	$154	51.3¢	Lost
Warriors vs. Knicks	Knicks	$104	76.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 21?	Yes	$31	24.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?	Yes	$278	74.7¢	Won
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?	No	$100	88.0¢	Won
Sweden vs. USA	USA	$17	64.0¢	Lost
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?	Yes	$9	21.0¢	Lost
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	$109	54.3¢	Won
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?	Yes	$34	70.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?	No	$61	79.0¢	Won
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	$37	45.0¢	Lost
Solana above $150 on May 2?	No	$148	44.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?	Yes	$106	29.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?	Yes	$5	8.3¢	Lost
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$116	89.5¢	Won
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	No	$52	85.0¢	Won
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?	Yes	$17	64.0¢	Won
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	No	$193	89.7¢	Won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?	Yes	$92	56.4¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?	Yes	$6	3.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?	Yes	$91	50.9¢	Won
Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?	No	$80	77.0¢	Won
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?	Yes	$21	73.0¢	Won
76ers vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	$30	78.0¢	Won
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?	No	$333	73.8¢	Won
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	$35	52.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?	Yes	$32	63.4¢	Won
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	$408	60.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?	Yes	$11	19.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?	Yes	$59	30.5¢	Lost
Thunder vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	$2	39.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?	Yes	$22	64.0¢	Won
Will Jude Bellingham be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?	Yes	$38	15.0¢	Lost
Will 'Fern' win Crunchyroll's Best Supporting Character Award for 2025?	Yes	$151	46.9¢	Won
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	$90	48.5¢	Lost
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	$148	42.4¢	Won
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?	No	$118	84.0¢	Won
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?	Yes	$118	51.0¢	Lost
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?	Yes	$128	45.0¢	Won
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	$252	62.5¢	Won
Baylor vs. Mississippi State	Baylor	$36	88.0¢	Won
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	$11	57.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs	Spirit	$9	68.0¢	Won
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?	Yes	$30	44.3¢	Won
Will Lamine Yamal be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?	Yes	$38	13.0¢	Lost

Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Lost
Yes$48 @ 24.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?Won
No$860 @ 90.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Won
Yes$635 @ 51.0¢
Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Won
Yes$84 @ 72.0¢
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?Won
Yes$131 @ 26.8¢
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?Lost
90k$154 @ 51.3¢
Warriors vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$104 @ 76.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 21?Lost
Yes$31 @ 24.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 25?Won
Yes$278 @ 74.7¢
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?Won
No$100 @ 88.0¢
Sweden vs. USALost
USA$17 @ 64.0¢
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?Lost
Yes$9 @ 21.0¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Won
Yes$109 @ 54.3¢
ETHBTC above 0.04 on September 30?Won
Yes$34 @ 70.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
No$61 @ 79.0¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Lost
Yes$37 @ 45.0¢
Solana above $150 on May 2?Won
No$148 @ 44.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?Lost
Yes$106 @ 29.0¢
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.3¢
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$116 @ 89.5¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
No$52 @ 85.0¢
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?Won
Yes$17 @ 64.0¢
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?Won
No$193 @ 89.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?Won
Yes$92 @ 56.4¢
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 28?Won
Yes$91 @ 50.9¢
Will "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?Won
No$80 @ 77.0¢
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $82-91m?Won
Yes$21 @ 73.0¢
76ers vs. TimberwolvesWon
Timberwolves$30 @ 78.0¢
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?Won
No$333 @ 73.8¢
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Lost
Yes$35 @ 52.0¢
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?Won
Yes$32 @ 63.4¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Lost
Yes$408 @ 60.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Mar 21?Lost
Yes$11 @ 19.0¢
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?Lost
Yes$59 @ 30.5¢
Thunder vs. NuggetsWon
Nuggets$2 @ 39.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?Won
Yes$22 @ 64.0¢
Will Jude Bellingham be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?Lost
Yes$38 @ 15.0¢
Will 'Fern' win Crunchyroll's Best Supporting Character Award for 2025?Won
Yes$151 @ 46.9¢
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Lost
No$90 @ 48.5¢
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Won
Yes$148 @ 42.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?Won
No$118 @ 84.0¢
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20?Lost
Yes$118 @ 51.0¢
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?Won
Yes$128 @ 45.0¢
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Won
Yes$252 @ 62.5¢
Baylor vs. Mississippi StateWon
Baylor$36 @ 88.0¢
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?Won
No$11 @ 57.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsWon
Spirit$9 @ 68.0¢
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?Won
Yes$30 @ 44.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?Lost
Yes$38 @ 13.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?	Culture	Yes	$369	50.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?	Culture	No	$225	84.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	Culture	Yes	$97	71.0¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	Culture	No	$33	49.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$31	35.6¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?	Culture	Yes	$17	15.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?	Culture	Yes	$17	15.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?	Culture	Yes	$17	15.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?	Culture	Yes	$17	15.4¢

Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?Culture
Yes$369 @ 50.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?Culture
No$225 @ 84.0¢
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Culture
Yes$97 @ 71.0¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?Culture
No$33 @ 49.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Politics
Yes$31 @ 35.6¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 36m?Culture
Yes$17 @ 15.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 30m?Culture
Yes$17 @ 15.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?Culture
Yes$17 @ 15.4¢
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?Culture
Yes$17 @ 15.4¢