← Smart money
0x4284…4e8c
SharpROI
+43%
Win rate
21%
Brier
0.153
Resolved
565
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (3/8) | -37% | 8 |
| Science | 100% (4/4) | +1% | 4 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +222% | 2 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (3/8)
- ROI
- -37%
- Science4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +1%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +222%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
53% hit · 8/15- Sierra Leone$8 @ 16.0¢
- Over$7 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 98.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.7¢
- No$39 @ 99.0¢
- No$26 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 99.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
- No$3 @ 6.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 99.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 12? | Science | No | $19 | 99.6¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on June 12? | Science | No | $10 | 99.5¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 13? | Science | No | $10 | 99.0¢ |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Sports | No | $6 | 52.5¢ |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Sports | No | $4 | 79.0¢ |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Sports | Yes | $3 | 23.0¢ |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Sports | Yes | $3 | 48.0¢ |
- No$19 @ 99.6¢
- No$10 @ 99.5¢
- No$10 @ 99.0¢
- No$6 @ 52.5¢
- No$4 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 48.0¢