0x4284…4e8c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x42840854a24784402c8951c141e0866d7aa54e8c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+10.8pp

ROI

+65%

Win rate

29% @ 18.6¢

Brier

0.166

Resolved

391

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	19% (35/181)	+74%	181
Sports	58% (29/50)	+23%	50
Science	100% (6/6)	+1%	6
Politics	33% (2/6)	+8%	6
Tech	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Economy	50% (1/2)	+21%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-66%	2

Other181 bets
Hit rate
19% (35/181)
ROI
+74%
Sports50 bets
Hit rate
58% (29/50)
ROI
+23%
Science6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+1%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+8%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+21%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-66%

Track record

29% hit · 74/251

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$20	19.0¢	Lost
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	$15	44.1¢	Lost
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	$6	24.0¢	Lost
Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Fnatic	$15	60.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner	PuckChamp	$63	59.0¢	Lost
FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5	Under	$3	12.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$10	10.3¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$3	50.6¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$6	57.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$3	52.6¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or higher on July 9?	No	$5	96.0¢	Won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)	Brazil	$55	15.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$3	67.0¢	Won
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Lost
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$2	37.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	$10	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 27?	No	$10	99.5¢	Won
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	$10	76.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$1	77.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$2	26.0¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$5	76.0¢	Won
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5	Over	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5	Under	$1	57.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	No	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$10	22.0¢	Won
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Won
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	$20	6.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	No	$4	83.0¢	Won
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	No	$5	96.0¢	Won
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$2	21.5¢	Lost
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?	No	$32	47.0¢	Won
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	95.9¢	Won
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	No	$10	92.0¢	Won
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	No	$5	96.0¢	Won
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	No	$1	21.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	No	$6	91.9¢	Won
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	$6	85.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	No	$3	43.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	$11	80.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$6	52.5¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$0	8.0¢	Lost
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	No	$13	93.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$4	65.0¢	Won
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	$5	75.0¢	Won

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$20 @ 19.0¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$15 @ 44.1¢
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-09-18?Lost
Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
Fnatic$15 @ 60.0¢
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerLost
PuckChamp$63 @ 59.0¢
FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$3 @ 12.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Lost
Yes$3 @ 50.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Won
Yes$6 @ 57.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 52.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C or higher on July 9?Won
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Won
Brazil$55 @ 15.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Won
No$3 @ 67.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Lost
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Lost
Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Lost
Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 27?Won
No$10 @ 99.5¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Won
No$10 @ 76.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Won
No$5 @ 76.0¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$10 @ 8.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Won
Under$1 @ 57.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Lost
No$2 @ 36.0¢
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?Won
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 6.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Won
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Won
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.5¢
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?Won
No$32 @ 47.0¢
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 95.9¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?Won
No$10 @ 92.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Won
No$5 @ 96.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?Lost
No$1 @ 21.0¢
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Won
No$6 @ 91.9¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Won
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$3 @ 43.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Won
No$11 @ 80.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2 @ 33.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$6 @ 52.5¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Won
No$13 @ 93.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$2 @ 36.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$4 @ 65.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$5 @ 75.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5	—	Over	$20	19.0¢

San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5—
Over$20 @ 19.0¢