0x41f3…85ca

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x41f3ca7328894bd7ed1ac8039e0da72c934085ca
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+23.5pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

58% @ 34.1¢

Brier

0.259

Resolved

Avg size

$168

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	17% (5/30)	-42%	30
Crypto	67% (2/3)	+206%	3
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other30 bets
Hit rate
17% (5/30)
ROI
-42%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+206%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

19% hit · 7/36

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1.0k	54.0¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	Yes	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	Over	$320	32.0¢	Lost
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	Yes	$227	35.0¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	$270	27.0¢	Lost
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	Over	$180	18.0¢	Lost
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals	Yes	$780	39.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$690	60.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	Yes	$140	14.0¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5	Over	$130	26.0¢	Lost
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	Over	$440	44.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$104	0.3¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5	Over	$205	41.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$110	11.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$257	24.8¢	Lost
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	$51	42.8¢	Lost
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	$205	15.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1.0k	51.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?	Yes	$11	1.0¢	Lost
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$440	4.4¢	Lost
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$5	19.1¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5	Over	$380	38.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	Mexico	$150	30.0¢	Lost
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	$2.8k	28.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	$1.0k	36.5¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$720	48.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1.0k	64.0¢	Won
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	$449	31.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?	Yes	$330	22.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?	Yes	$36	6.0¢	Lost
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1.1k	61.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$1.7k	49.6¢	Won
O/U 3.5 Rounds	Under	$341	58.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	Yes	$499	29.0¢	Lost
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	Yes	$2.0k	39.9¢	Won
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	$238	34.0¢	Lost

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$1.0k @ 54.0¢
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsLost
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$320 @ 32.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$227 @ 35.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$270 @ 27.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$180 @ 18.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsLost
Yes$780 @ 39.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$690 @ 60.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Lost
Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Lost
Over$130 @ 26.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$440 @ 44.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$104 @ 0.3¢
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Won
Over$205 @ 41.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$110 @ 11.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$257 @ 24.8¢
O/U 2.5 RoundsLost
Under$51 @ 42.8¢
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Tatsuro Taira$205 @ 15.0¢
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?Lost
Yes$11 @ 1.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Lost
Yes$440 @ 4.4¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$5 @ 19.1¢
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5Won
Over$380 @ 38.0¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceLost
Mexico$150 @ 30.0¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?Won
Yes$2.8k @ 28.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 36.5¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$720 @ 48.0¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$1.0k @ 64.0¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Conor McGregor$449 @ 31.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Lost
Yes$330 @ 22.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?Lost
Yes$36 @ 6.0¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$1.1k @ 61.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$1.7k @ 49.6¢
O/U 3.5 RoundsLost
Under$341 @ 58.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Lost
Yes$499 @ 29.0¢
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 39.9¢
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Lost
Over$238 @ 34.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$1.1k	61.0¢
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$1.0k	51.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	—	Yes	$1.0k	36.5¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score	—	Yes	$1.0k	54.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals	—	Yes	$780	39.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$690	60.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?	—	Yes	$499	29.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$440	44.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Politics	Yes	$440	4.4¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sports	Conor McGregor	$434	31.0¢
O/U 3.5 Rounds	—	Under	$337	58.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?	—	Yes	$330	22.5¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$320	32.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$270	27.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$247	24.7¢
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5	—	Over	$238	34.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	—	Yes	$227	35.0¢
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	—	Tatsuro Taira	$200	15.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	—	Over	$180	18.0¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	—	Mexico	$150	30.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	—	Yes	$140	14.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5	—	Over	$130	26.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	—	Cabo Verde	$110	11.0¢
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals	—	Yes	$110	11.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$98	0.3¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds	—	Under	$50	42.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?	—	Yes	$36	6.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?	—	Yes	$11	1.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$5	19.1¢

France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$1.1k @ 61.0¢
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?—
Yes$1.0k @ 36.5¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score—
Yes$1.0k @ 54.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals—
Yes$780 @ 39.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5—
Over$690 @ 60.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?—
Yes$499 @ 29.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5—
Over$440 @ 44.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Politics
Yes$440 @ 4.4¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Sports
Conor McGregor$434 @ 31.0¢
O/U 3.5 Rounds—
Under$337 @ 58.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?—
Yes$330 @ 22.5¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5—
Over$320 @ 32.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5—
Over$270 @ 27.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$247 @ 24.7¢
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5—
Over$238 @ 34.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals—
Yes$227 @ 35.0¢
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)—
Tatsuro Taira$200 @ 15.0¢
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 3.5—
Over$180 @ 18.0¢
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance—
Mexico$150 @ 30.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?—
Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5—
Over$130 @ 26.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance—
Cabo Verde$110 @ 11.0¢
Lionel Messi: 3+ goals—
Yes$110 @ 11.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$98 @ 0.3¢
O/U 2.5 Rounds—
Under$50 @ 42.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?—
Yes$36 @ 6.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?—
Yes$11 @ 1.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$5 @ 19.1¢