0x41f3…844e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x41f3b515c133850bc03e72b3bfaa42cf0962844e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.4pp

ROI

+39%

Win rate

49% @ 41.7¢

Brier

0.177

Resolved

1127

Avg size

$103

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (137/290)	+42%	290
Geopolitics	29% (2/7)	-42%	7
Politics	33% (2/6)	-23%	6
Business	50% (1/2)	+103%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+293%	1

Other290 bets
Hit rate
47% (137/290)
ROI
+42%
Geopolitics7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
-42%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
-23%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+103%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+293%

Track record

47% hit · 143/307

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2?	No	$244	44.1¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?	No	$55	25.6¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?	Yes	$21	68.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9?	No	$25	32.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?	Yes	$521	11.7¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10?	No	$67	21.3¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 4?	No	$366	51.3¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	Yes	$224	84.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 18?	No	$50	77.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 18?	Yes	$60	6.8¢	Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$111	63.8¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$1.0k	22.8¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10?	No	$246	23.8¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10?	Yes	$71	69.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	$258	35.9¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 8?	Yes	$719	82.6¢	Won
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$40	20.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 7?	No	$332	5.2¢	Lost
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?	Yes	$194	10.6¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 12?	Yes	$98	48.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?	No	$209	30.3¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?	No	$83	16.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June?	No	$190	22.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June?	Yes	$469	73.8¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?	No	$728	53.6¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?	Yes	$195	38.0¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of July 6 2026?	Yes	$18	18.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$794	46.4¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?	No	$517	26.2¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	Yes	$713	34.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 20?	Yes	$34	34.0¢	Lost
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of May 25 2026?	No	$69	32.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$292	27.8¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 27?	No	$90	23.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 15?	No	$174	87.0¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 30?	No	$163	39.9¢	Won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	Yes	$68	22.1¢	Lost
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	$571	79.8¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?	No	$191	55.1¢	Won
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?	No	$87	38.9¢	Lost
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?	Yes	$68	63.9¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?	No	$1.2k	55.0¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?	Yes	$103	48.5¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?	No	$308	36.5¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?	Yes	$638	41.3¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?	No	$5	31.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	$244	39.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	$186	54.9¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	$32	63.0¢	Won

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2?Lost
No$244 @ 44.1¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?Lost
No$55 @ 25.6¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?Won
Yes$21 @ 68.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9?Lost
No$25 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Lost
Yes$521 @ 11.7¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 10?Lost
No$67 @ 21.3¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 4?Won
No$366 @ 51.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Won
Yes$224 @ 84.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 18?Won
No$50 @ 77.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 18?Lost
Yes$60 @ 6.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Won
No$111 @ 63.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 22.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10?Lost
No$246 @ 23.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10?Won
Yes$71 @ 69.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Won
Yes$258 @ 35.9¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 8?Won
Yes$719 @ 82.6¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$40 @ 20.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 7?Lost
No$332 @ 5.2¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?Lost
Yes$194 @ 10.6¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 12?Won
Yes$98 @ 48.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) open between $7,500 and $7,600 on May 26, 2026?Lost
No$209 @ 30.3¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 26?Lost
No$83 @ 16.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June?Lost
No$190 @ 22.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June?Won
Yes$469 @ 73.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?Won
No$728 @ 53.6¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?Lost
Yes$195 @ 38.0¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of July 6 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 18.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
Yes$794 @ 46.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?Lost
No$517 @ 26.2¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?Won
Yes$713 @ 34.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 20?Lost
Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of May 25 2026?Lost
No$69 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
Yes$292 @ 27.8¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on May 27?Won
No$90 @ 23.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 15?Won
No$174 @ 87.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 30?Won
No$163 @ 39.9¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?Lost
Yes$68 @ 22.1¢
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?Won
No$571 @ 79.8¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Won
No$191 @ 55.1¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?Lost
No$87 @ 38.9¢
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 1?Won
Yes$68 @ 63.9¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?Lost
No$1.2k @ 55.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?Won
Yes$103 @ 48.5¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?Lost
No$308 @ 36.5¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?Won
Yes$638 @ 41.3¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 19?Lost
No$5 @ 31.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Won
Yes$244 @ 39.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?Won
Yes$186 @ 54.9¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?Won
No$32 @ 63.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4.1k	57.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	44.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$268	23.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2?	Other	No	$244	44.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	Other	Yes	$50	5.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$4.1k @ 57.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 44.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$268 @ 23.0¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 2?Other
No$244 @ 44.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?Other
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢