← Smart money
0x41e4…7a8f
ProfitableEdge
+16.4pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
56% @ 39.2¢
Brier
0.298
Resolved
90
Avg size
$228
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 71% (12/17) | +16% | 17 |
| Other | 44% (7/16) | +37% | 16 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +32% | 1 |
- Sports17 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (12/17)
- ROI
- +16%
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (7/16)
- ROI
- +37%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +32%
Track record
59% hit · 20/34- Under$344 @ 86.0¢
- Under$4 @ 81.0¢
- Under$510 @ 51.0¢
- Over$490 @ 49.0¢
- Over$239 @ 70.0¢
- Over$19 @ 62.0¢
- Over$291 @ 85.0¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$280 @ 28.0¢
- Eagles$1.0k @ 49.0¢
- Colts$955 @ 47.8¢
- Raiders$260 @ 26.0¢
- Steelers$165 @ 33.0¢
- Giants vs. RamsLostGiants$1.1k @ 27.0¢
- Eagles vs. BearsLostEagles$495 @ 66.0¢
- Eagles$1.9k @ 75.0¢
- Lions vs. BillsLostLions$340 @ 34.0¢
- Buccaneers$186 @ 36.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 64.1¢
- Lions$250 @ 50.0¢
- Bears$660 @ 66.0¢
- Jets$508 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 75.6¢
- Dolphins$55 @ 11.0¢
- Panthers$855 @ 57.0¢
- Seahawks$858 @ 66.0¢
- Saints$288 @ 48.0¢
- Jaguars$86 @ 43.0¢
- Saints$640 @ 21.3¢
- Seahawks$770 @ 77.0¢
- Packers$1.5k @ 60.0¢
- Chiefs$1.0k @ 49.2¢
- Raiders$780 @ 39.0¢
- Chiefs$375 @ 75.0¢
- Buccaneers$780 @ 78.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Politics | Yes | $2.4k | 15.9¢ |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Politics | No | $1.2k | 94.8¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | No | $948 | 94.8¢ |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $408 | 93.3¢ |
| Browns vs. Jets: O/U 40.5 | Sports | Over | $386 | 49.0¢ |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | Crypto | No | $345 | 96.8¢ |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $311 | 94.3¢ |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026? | Sports | Yes | $307 | 79.0¢ |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $215 | 93.0¢ |
| Browns vs. Jets: O/U 34.5 | Sports | Over | $204 | 68.0¢ |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $139 | 87.0¢ |
| Bengals vs. Dolphins | Sports | Bengals | $126 | 76.0¢ |
| Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027? | Crypto | No | $86 | 94.0¢ |
- Yes$2.4k @ 15.9¢
- No$1.2k @ 94.8¢
- No$948 @ 94.8¢
- No$408 @ 93.3¢
- Over$386 @ 49.0¢
- No$345 @ 96.8¢
- No$311 @ 94.3¢
- Yes$307 @ 79.0¢
- No$215 @ 93.0¢
- Over$204 @ 68.0¢
- No$139 @ 87.0¢
- Bengals vs. DolphinsSportsBengals$126 @ 76.0¢
- No$86 @ 94.0¢