0x41b4…de82

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x41b48b4145d568604106d4a78bd333a8c974de82
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.2pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

28% @ 22.8¢

Brier

0.160

Resolved

767

Avg size

$73

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (28/65)	+1%	65
Sports	32% (7/22)	+67%	22

Other65 bets
Hit rate
43% (28/65)
ROI
+1%
Sports22 bets
Hit rate
32% (7/22)
ROI
+67%

Track record

40% hit · 35/87

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	$400	40.0¢	Lost
Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	$1.3k	25.4¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	No	$62	2.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$2.0k	39.4¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$217	59.0¢	Won
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$2.4k	19.1¢	Lost
Athletics vs. Houston Astros	Athletics	$300	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)	Spurs	$535	30.0¢	Won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Pistons	$7	39.2¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?	Yes	$270	27.0¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	$76	3.8¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	$1.8k	60.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics	Los Angeles Angels	$320	40.0¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	No	$320	32.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)	Pittsburgh Pirates	$3	29.0¢	Lost
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	$80	4.0¢	Lost
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)	Uzbekistan	$12	0.6¢	Lost
Spread: Magic (-1.5)	Pistons	$55	36.0¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	Knicks	$88	36.1¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	$640	18.0¢	Lost
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	$1.3k	38.0¢	Won
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)	Timberwolves	$95	49.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$230	23.0¢	Won
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	$710	35.5¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Hawks	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$300	15.0¢	Lost
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	$0	25.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	$1.5k	38.0¢	Lost
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox	Baltimore Orioles	$235	47.0¢	Won
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	$46	33.0¢	Won
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	$301	53.0¢	Won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	$1.4k	36.3¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Knicks	$1.1k	38.7¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)	Knicks	$820	41.0¢	Won
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)	Timberwolves	$1.0k	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	Hawks	$1.9k	48.0¢	Lost
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	$220	55.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$1.0k	51.0¢	Won
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$158	21.1¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2.4k	27.9¢	Won
Spread: Ghana (-3.5)	Ghana	$90	1.8¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	No	$1.6k	14.8¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$511	25.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	$1.6k	54.0¢	Won
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	$810	27.0¢	Lost
Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	$660	50.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	$465	31.0¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?	No	$3.4k	55.6¢	Won
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	$1.1k	25.9¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)	Knicks	$113	17.1¢	Won

Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Lost
Pittsburgh Pirates$400 @ 40.0¢
Celtics vs. 76ersLost
76ers$1.3k @ 25.4¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$62 @ 2.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 39.4¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
No$217 @ 59.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 19.1¢
Athletics vs. Houston AstrosLost
Athletics$300 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Won
Spurs$535 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Lost
Pistons$7 @ 39.2¢
Switzerland vs. Canada: Neither team to score first?Lost
Yes$270 @ 27.0¢
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Lost
Yes$76 @ 3.8¢
Cavaliers vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$1.8k @ 60.0¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. AthleticsLost
Los Angeles Angels$320 @ 40.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Lost
No$320 @ 32.0¢
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Lost
Pittsburgh Pirates$3 @ 29.0¢
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesLost
Nuggets$80 @ 4.0¢
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Lost
Uzbekistan$12 @ 0.6¢
Spread: Magic (-1.5)Lost
Pistons$55 @ 36.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Lost
Knicks$88 @ 36.1¢
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsLost
Cavaliers$640 @ 18.0¢
Cavaliers vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$1.3k @ 38.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Won
Timberwolves$95 @ 49.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$230 @ 23.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$710 @ 35.5¢
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Lost
Hawks$10 @ 8.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$300 @ 15.0¢
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Lost
Pistons$0 @ 25.0¢
Pistons vs. CavaliersLost
Pistons$1.5k @ 38.0¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxWon
Baltimore Orioles$235 @ 47.0¢
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Won
Arizona Diamondbacks$46 @ 33.0¢
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Won
Spurs$301 @ 53.0¢
Pistons vs. CavaliersLost
Pistons$1.4k @ 36.3¢
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Won
Knicks$1.1k @ 38.7¢
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Won
Knicks$820 @ 41.0¢
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Won
Timberwolves$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Lost
Hawks$1.9k @ 48.0¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsLost
Minnesota Twins$220 @ 55.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 51.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
No$158 @ 21.1¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 27.9¢
Spread: Ghana (-3.5)Lost
Ghana$90 @ 1.8¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
No$1.6k @ 14.8¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?Won
Yes$511 @ 25.0¢
Spurs vs. Trail BlazersWon
Spurs$1.6k @ 54.0¢
Raptors vs. CavaliersLost
Raptors$810 @ 27.0¢
Lakers vs. RocketsLost
Rockets$660 @ 50.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderWon
Spurs$465 @ 31.0¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?Won
No$3.4k @ 55.6¢
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 25.9¢
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Won
Knicks$113 @ 17.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$545	10.9¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	—	Yes	$500	25.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs	Sports	Toronto Blue Jays	$295	50.0¢
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$260	13.0¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$43	7.0¢

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$545 @ 10.9¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?—
Yes$500 @ 25.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago CubsSports
Toronto Blue Jays$295 @ 50.0¢
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$260 @ 13.0¢
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$43 @ 7.0¢