0x4152…5d75

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4152ad8441c2cf5f49c8fcdfed1c480c5f215d75
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+17.9pp

ROI

+24%

Win rate

64% @ 46.1¢

Brier

0.260

Resolved

286

Avg size

$65

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (31/60)	+25%	60
Sports	20% (1/5)	-41%	5

Other60 bets
Hit rate
52% (31/60)
ROI
+25%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-41%

Track record

49% hit · 32/65

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	$192	48.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Heat	Pistons	$520	52.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	$215	43.0¢	Lost
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	$182	26.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	$476	68.0¢	Lost
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	$602	86.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	PARIVISION	$399	57.0¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Raptors	Raptors	$456	38.0¢	Won
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Ultra Prime	$248	31.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)	Team Falcons	$290	58.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	$255	34.0¢	Lost
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?	Yes	$616	44.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. Hawks	Celtics	$100	50.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	$57	56.6¢	Lost
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Perricard	$168	56.0¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	$255	51.0¢	Won
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?	No	$590	59.0¢	Won
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?	Yes	$450	45.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)	OG	$170	34.0¢	Lost
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?	No	$74	74.2¢	Lost
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?	Yes	$26	25.5¢	Won
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	$192	24.0¢	Lost
Timberwolves vs. Clippers	Clippers	$220	55.0¢	Won
Hornets vs. Spurs	Spurs	$690	69.0¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	$368	46.0¢	Won
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)	LGD Gaming	$116	29.0¢	Lost
Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	$260	52.0¢	Won
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner	Ultra Prime	$296	37.0¢	Won
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Oh My God	$304	38.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Tundra Esports	$684	76.0¢	Won
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	$295	59.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	15.5¢	Won
Canucks vs. Devils	Canucks	$215	43.0¢	Won
Jazz vs. Kings	Kings	$433	54.1¢	Won
Will Generate Biomedicines' market cap be between $2.1B and $2.2B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Jazz	Jazz	$940	47.0¢	Won
Warriors vs. Jazz	Warriors	$90	69.0¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)	Weibo Gaming	$608	76.0¢	Lost
Blues vs. Lightning	Blues	$93	31.0¢	Lost
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	$8	45.0¢	Lost
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	$46	53.0¢	Won
Rangers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	$180	60.0¢	Won
Rangers vs. Hurricanes	Rangers	$126	42.0¢	Lost
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	$180	30.0¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	16.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)	Natus Vincere	$60	24.0¢	Won
Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	$792	66.0¢	Won
Bucks vs. Nets	Nets	$225	45.0¢	Won
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	$189	27.0¢	Won

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?Lost
Yes$192 @ 48.0¢
Pistons vs. HeatLost
Pistons$520 @ 52.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Grizzlies vs. JazzLost
Jazz$215 @ 43.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLost
ThunderTalk Gaming$182 @ 26.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerLost
Gen.G$476 @ 68.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Lost
KT Rolster$602 @ 86.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageLost
PARIVISION$399 @ 57.0¢
Pistons vs. RaptorsWon
Raptors$456 @ 38.0¢
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaWon
Ultra Prime$248 @ 31.0¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)Lost
Team Falcons$290 @ 58.0¢
Mavericks vs. GrizzliesLost
Grizzlies$255 @ 34.0¢
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?Won
Yes$616 @ 44.0¢
Celtics vs. HawksLost
Celtics$100 @ 50.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerLost
Aurora$57 @ 56.6¢
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardLost
Perricard$168 @ 56.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team WE$255 @ 51.0¢
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?Won
No$590 @ 59.0¢
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?Lost
Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO3)Lost
OG$170 @ 34.0¢
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Lost
No$74 @ 74.2¢
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$26 @ 25.5¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLost
ThunderTalk Gaming$192 @ 24.0¢
Timberwolves vs. ClippersWon
Clippers$220 @ 55.0¢
Hornets vs. SpursWon
Spurs$690 @ 69.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerWon
Ninjas in Pyjamas$368 @ 46.0¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)Lost
LGD Gaming$116 @ 29.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. KingsWon
Trail Blazers$260 @ 52.0¢
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 WinnerWon
Ultra Prime$296 @ 37.0¢
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Oh My God$304 @ 38.0¢
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsWon
Tundra Esports$684 @ 76.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerWon
Bilibili Gaming$295 @ 59.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$8 @ 15.5¢
Canucks vs. DevilsWon
Canucks$215 @ 43.0¢
Jazz vs. KingsWon
Kings$433 @ 54.1¢
Will Generate Biomedicines' market cap be between $2.1B and $2.2B at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Mavericks vs. JazzWon
Jazz$940 @ 47.0¢
Warriors vs. JazzLost
Warriors$90 @ 69.0¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)Lost
Weibo Gaming$608 @ 76.0¢
Blues vs. LightningLost
Blues$93 @ 31.0¢
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Lost
No$8 @ 45.0¢
Will the Social Democrats win 35-39 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Won
Yes$46 @ 53.0¢
Rangers vs. HurricanesWon
Hurricanes$180 @ 60.0¢
Rangers vs. HurricanesLost
Rangers$126 @ 42.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerLost
ThunderTalk Gaming$180 @ 30.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.6¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)Won
Natus Vincere$60 @ 24.0¢
Knicks vs. HawksWon
Knicks$792 @ 66.0¢
Bucks vs. NetsWon
Nets$225 @ 45.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
JD Gaming$189 @ 27.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)	—	Weibo Gaming	$608	76.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	—	KT Rolster	$602	86.0¢
Pistons vs. Heat	—	Pistons	$520	52.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	—	Bilibili Gaming	$517	64.6¢
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	—	LGD Gaming	$480	60.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	—	Gen.G	$476	68.0¢
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?	—	Yes	$450	45.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	—	PARIVISION	$399	57.0¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)	—	Team Falcons	$290	58.0¢
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies	—	Grizzlies	$255	34.0¢
BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskova	—	Alexandra Eala	$240	40.0¢
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	—	Jazz	$215	43.0¢
Suns vs. Celtics	—	Suns	$207	23.0¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	—	ThunderTalk Gaming	$192	24.0¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?	—	Yes	$192	48.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	—	ThunderTalk Gaming	$182	26.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner	—	ThunderTalk Gaming	$180	30.0¢
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	—	Perricard	$168	56.0¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)	—	LGD Gaming	$116	29.0¢
Ducks vs. Capitals	—	Ducks	$110	44.0¢
Celtics vs. Hawks	—	Celtics	$100	50.4¢
Blues vs. Lightning	—	Blues	$93	31.0¢
Warriors vs. Jazz	—	Warriors	$90	69.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Sports	Aurora	$56	56.6¢
Jazz vs. 76ers	—	Jazz	$13	21.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$8	16.6¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Sports	Yes	$8	11.0¢

LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)—
Weibo Gaming$608 @ 76.0¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2—
KT Rolster$602 @ 86.0¢
Pistons vs. Heat—
Pistons$520 @ 52.0¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner—
Bilibili Gaming$517 @ 64.6¢
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana—
LGD Gaming$480 @ 60.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner—
Gen.G$476 @ 68.0¢
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?—
Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage—
PARIVISION$399 @ 57.0¢
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)—
Team Falcons$290 @ 58.0¢
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies—
Grizzlies$255 @ 34.0¢
BNP Paribas Open: Alexandra Eala vs Linda Noskova—
Alexandra Eala$240 @ 40.0¢
Grizzlies vs. Jazz—
Jazz$215 @ 43.0¢
Suns vs. Celtics—
Suns$207 @ 23.0¢
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner—
ThunderTalk Gaming$192 @ 24.0¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?—
Yes$192 @ 48.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner—
ThunderTalk Gaming$182 @ 26.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner—
ThunderTalk Gaming$180 @ 30.0¢
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard—
Perricard$168 @ 56.0¢
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)—
LGD Gaming$116 @ 29.0¢
Ducks vs. Capitals—
Ducks$110 @ 44.0¢
Celtics vs. Hawks—
Celtics$100 @ 50.4¢
Blues vs. Lightning—
Blues$93 @ 31.0¢
Warriors vs. Jazz—
Warriors$90 @ 69.0¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerSports
Aurora$56 @ 56.6¢
Jazz vs. 76ers—
Jazz$13 @ 21.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$8 @ 16.6¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Sports
Yes$8 @ 11.0¢