← Smart money
0x4143…d67d
SharpEdge
+1.5pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
5% @ 3.1¢
Brier
0.019
Resolved
1480
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 29% (25/85) | +28% | 85 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +131% | 1 |
- Other85 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (25/85)
- ROI
- +28%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +131%
Track record
30% hit · 26/86- No$52 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$50 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.1¢
- No$2 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- No$71 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$70 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
- No$86 @ 43.2¢
- Yes$72 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
- No$24 @ 46.0¢
- No$76 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
- No$3 @ 50.0¢
- No$40 @ 40.0¢
- No$16 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
- No$4 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$0 @ 29.0¢
- No$18 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
- No$78 @ 39.1¢
- No$0 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
- No$13 @ 33.0¢
- No$12 @ 1.5¢
- No$67 @ 33.5¢
- Yes$19 @ 0.4¢
- No$48 @ 48.1¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
- No$15 @ 15.0¢
- No$297 @ 37.1¢
- No$78 @ 39.0¢
- No$50 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
- No$8 @ 50.0¢
- No$44 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | — | No | $24 | 4.8¢ |
- No$24 @ 4.8¢