0x4133…e834

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x41338c4fc9d6e67e7ba85d322bd16191247ae834
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.5pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

52% @ 49.0¢

Brier

0.217

Resolved

2637

Avg size

$25

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (759/1503)	+10%	1503
Politics	33% (4/12)	-9%	12
Sports	75% (6/8)	+46%	8
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+16%	1

Other1503 bets
Hit rate
50% (759/1503)
ROI
+10%
Politics12 bets
Hit rate
33% (4/12)
ROI
-9%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
75% (6/8)
ROI
+46%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+16%

Track record

51% hit · 770/1524

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	$6	71.0¢	Won
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	No	$200	95.0¢	Won
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-06?	No	$16	45.0¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	No	$10	83.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)	NIP	$192	42.9¢	Won
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$44	32.9¢	Won
AJ Auxerre vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	No	$5	69.0¢	Won
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	$4	23.0¢	Won
Bulls vs. Pacers	Bulls	$32	37.0¢	Lost
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?	No	$17	52.7¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	$44	67.0¢	Won
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	No	$4	70.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov	Mitchell	$50	55.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedov	Nurmagomedov	$39	31.2¢	Lost
Will Isaac Del Toro win the Giro d’Italia 2025?	No	$30	61.0¢	Won
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?	No	$18	74.0¢	Lost
Cardinals vs. Phillies	Phillies	$16	58.0¢	Won
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$4	39.0¢	Lost
Wyoming vs. Fresno State	Wyoming	$9	30.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Kings	Pacers	$9	43.0¢	Lost
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	$40	58.0¢	Lost
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	$16	86.0¢	Won
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?	No	$8	71.0¢	Won
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX	BNK FEARX	$4	48.0¢	Won
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX	DRX	$35	46.0¢	Lost
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5	Over	$6	52.0¢	Won
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	$33	72.0¢	Won
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$9	67.0¢	Won
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	$89	52.1¢	Won
Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?	No	$50	76.0¢	Won
Suns vs. Lakers	Suns	$7	71.0¢	Won
Kings vs. Bucks	Bucks	$50	70.0¢	Lost
South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5	Under	$39	70.0¢	Lost
Predators vs. Stars	Predators	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Mavericks vs. Lakers	Mavericks	$10	45.0¢	Won
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	$75	44.5¢	Won
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Panathinaikos	Zalgiris Kaunas	$50	51.0¢	Lost
US Open: Luca Nardi vs Tomas Machac	Machac	$3	64.0¢	Won
Magic vs. Hawks	Hawks	$26	45.0¢	Won
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones	Iowa State Cyclones	$50	51.0¢	Won
Flyers vs. Utah	Utah	$57	56.0¢	Won
Tulane vs. Temple	Tulane	$167	48.0¢	Won
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?	No	$37	42.0¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Pacers	Pacers	$16	29.0¢	Lost
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Wisconsin Badgers	$12	46.0¢	Won
Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5	Over	$12	64.0¢	Won
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-04?	No	$5	41.0¢	Lost
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-14?	No	$22	28.0¢	Lost
Aces vs. Mercury	Aces	$24	75.0¢	Won
Aces vs. Mercury	Mercury	$41	43.0¢	Lost

Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Won
No$6 @ 71.0¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Won
No$200 @ 95.0¢
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-06?Lost
No$16 @ 45.0¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Won
No$10 @ 83.0¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)Won
NIP$192 @ 42.9¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$44 @ 32.9¢
AJ Auxerre vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$5 @ 69.0¢
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Won
No$4 @ 23.0¢
Bulls vs. PacersLost
Bulls$32 @ 37.0¢
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?Lost
No$17 @ 52.7¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Won
No$44 @ 67.0¢
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?Won
No$4 @ 70.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovWon
Mitchell$50 @ 55.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. NurmagomedovLost
Nurmagomedov$39 @ 31.2¢
Will Isaac Del Toro win the Giro d’Italia 2025?Won
No$30 @ 61.0¢
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?Lost
No$18 @ 74.0¢
Cardinals vs. PhilliesWon
Phillies$16 @ 58.0¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$4 @ 39.0¢
Wyoming vs. Fresno StateLost
Wyoming$9 @ 30.0¢
Pacers vs. KingsLost
Pacers$9 @ 43.0¢
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$40 @ 58.0¢
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?Won
No$16 @ 86.0¢
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?Won
No$8 @ 71.0¢
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXWon
BNK FEARX$4 @ 48.0¢
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXLost
DRX$35 @ 46.0¢
Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5Won
Over$6 @ 52.0¢
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-04-25?Won
No$33 @ 72.0¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$9 @ 67.0¢
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Won
No$89 @ 52.1¢
Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?Won
No$50 @ 76.0¢
Suns vs. LakersWon
Suns$7 @ 71.0¢
Kings vs. BucksLost
Bucks$50 @ 70.0¢
South Africa vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$39 @ 70.0¢
Predators vs. StarsLost
Predators$10 @ 48.0¢
Mavericks vs. LakersWon
Mavericks$10 @ 45.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. PanathinaikosWon
Panathinaikos$75 @ 44.5¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. PanathinaikosLost
Zalgiris Kaunas$50 @ 51.0¢
US Open: Luca Nardi vs Tomas MachacWon
Machac$3 @ 64.0¢
Magic vs. HawksWon
Hawks$26 @ 45.0¢
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State CyclonesWon
Iowa State Cyclones$50 @ 51.0¢
Flyers vs. UtahWon
Utah$57 @ 56.0¢
Tulane vs. TempleWon
Tulane$167 @ 48.0¢
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Lost
No$37 @ 42.0¢
Raptors vs. PacersLost
Pacers$16 @ 29.0¢
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue BoilermakersWon
Wisconsin Badgers$12 @ 46.0¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$12 @ 64.0¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-04?Lost
No$5 @ 41.0¢
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-14?Lost
No$22 @ 28.0¢
Aces vs. MercuryWon
Aces$24 @ 75.0¢
Aces vs. MercuryLost
Mercury$41 @ 43.0¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$200	95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$141	77.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$85	37.6¢
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	No	$56	31.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$17	76.0¢
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$6	71.0¢

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Sports
No$200 @ 95.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$141 @ 77.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$85 @ 37.6¢
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
No$56 @ 31.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics
No$17 @ 76.0¢
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Sports
No$6 @ 71.0¢