0x40e2…aab7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x40e2400aade30cb99edfa8372d1a1aa903dfaab7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-8.2pp

ROI

+35%

Win rate

17% @ 25.4¢

Brier

0.135

Resolved

232

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	15% (8/55)	-21%	55
Sports	29% (14/49)	-42%	49
Science	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+99900%	1

Other55 bets
Hit rate
15% (8/55)
ROI
-21%
Sports49 bets
Hit rate
29% (14/49)
ROI
-42%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+99900%

Track record

21% hit · 23/110

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	$42	16.9¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$207	68.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	Yes	$40	34.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	18.6¢	Lost
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$2	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	$2	32.0¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$8	49.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?	Yes	$7	40.7¢	Lost
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$17	1.9¢	Lost
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	$30	47.6¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 17?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	$5	4.4¢	Lost
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Canada?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	$3	89.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$17	44.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?	Yes	$20	0.6¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$10	67.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 29?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$51	46.0¢	Won
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	$2	50.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 14?	Yes	$6	3.6¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	Yes	$5	5.9¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Won
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$5	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?	Yes	$2	35.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	$41	48.5¢	Lost
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	2.3¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	$10	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?	Yes	$43	39.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	Yes	$2	12.2¢	Lost
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$19	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?	Yes	$41	36.1¢	Won
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$30	58.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$5	18.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	$2	30.0¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$7	4.9¢	Won
Government shutdown on Saturday?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	$4	3.7¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$30	69.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.5k	7.2¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$10	27.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	$14	3.4¢	Lost

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?Lost
Yes$42 @ 16.9¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$207 @ 68.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?Lost
Yes$40 @ 34.0¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 18.6¢
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$8 @ 49.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$7 @ 40.7¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?Lost
Yes$30 @ 47.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.4¢
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Canada?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Won
No$3 @ 89.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$17 @ 44.3¢
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.6¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$51 @ 46.0¢
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$2 @ 50.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 14?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.9¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?Won
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$41 @ 48.5¢
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Lost
Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$43 @ 39.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.2¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$19 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?Won
Yes$41 @ 36.1¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$30 @ 58.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$5 @ 18.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$7 @ 4.9¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Lost
No$4 @ 3.7¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Won
Yes$30 @ 69.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 7.2¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Lost
Yes$14 @ 3.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$277	6.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?	—	Yes	$168	63.5¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$165	62.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?	—	Yes	$42	39.8¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?	Sports	Yes	$40	16.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$40	16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$40	48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?	—	Yes	$40	30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	—	Yes	$39	34.0¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?	Sports	Yes	$37	16.8¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Sports	Yes	$36	59.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$30	58.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	—	Yes	$24	10.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?	Sports	Yes	$22	11.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Crypto	Down	$20	77.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$20	4.9¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?	Sports	Yes	$18	5.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$17	44.3¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$17	1.9¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?	Sports	Yes	$15	5.8¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?	Sports	Yes	$15	12.6¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	—	Yes	$13	3.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?	Science	Yes	$10	40.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	Sports	Yes	$10	18.0¢
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland?	Sports	Yes	$10	13.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye?	Sports	Yes	$10	5.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?	—	Yes	$9	28.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Crypto	Down	$9	34.6¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$8	49.4¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sports	Conor McGregor	$7	28.0¢

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$277 @ 6.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?—
Yes$168 @ 63.5¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$165 @ 62.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?—
Yes$42 @ 39.8¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?Sports
Yes$40 @ 16.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?—
Yes$40 @ 16.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?—
Yes$40 @ 48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?—
Yes$40 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?—
Yes$39 @ 34.0¢
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?Sports
Yes$37 @ 16.8¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Sports
Yes$36 @ 59.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$30 @ 58.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?—
Yes$24 @ 10.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye?Sports
Yes$22 @ 11.4¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETCrypto
Down$20 @ 77.3¢
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$20 @ 4.9¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Sports
Yes$18 @ 5.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$17 @ 44.3¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?Sports
Yes$15 @ 5.8¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?Sports
Yes$15 @ 12.6¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?—
Yes$13 @ 3.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?Science
Yes$10 @ 40.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Sports
Yes$10 @ 18.0¢
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland?Sports
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Türkiye?Sports
Yes$10 @ 5.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?—
Yes$9 @ 28.1¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETCrypto
Down$9 @ 34.6¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$8 @ 49.4¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Sports
Conor McGregor$7 @ 28.0¢