0x40ce…bf90

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x40ce68f1564f3c751b12d88a393d8cc0651dbf90
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+3.4pp

ROI

+3%

Win rate

57% @ 53.2¢

Brier

0.218

Resolved

6005

Avg size

$125

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (797/1385)	+4%	1385
Sports	52% (65/126)	-2%	126
Politics	100% (1/1)	+15%	1

Other1385 bets
Hit rate
58% (797/1385)
ROI
+4%
Sports126 bets
Hit rate
52% (65/126)
ROI
-2%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%

Track record

57% hit · 863/1512

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance	Team WE	$271	44.0¢	Lost
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	$278	39.7¢	Won
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Under	$308	44.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs	Evil Geniuses	$305	50.0¢	Won
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	$1.0k	68.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	FUT Esports	$469	67.0¢	Won
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular Season	Arctic Pandas	$202	80.0¢	Won
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	$710	71.0¢	Won
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner	Fluxo W7M	$443	44.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season	Fire Flux Esports	$248	31.0¢	Won
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	$912	64.9¢	Lost
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	$800	80.0¢	Won
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs	Team Vitality	$359	30.5¢	Lost
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5	Under	$458	51.0¢	Lost
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	$789	56.0¢	Won
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Sentinels	$378	54.0¢	Won
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	$156	64.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	G2	$710	71.0¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	$600	48.0¢	Lost
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	LOUD	$969	48.3¢	Lost
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)	EYEBALLERS	$327	46.0¢	Lost
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	$660	50.0¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage	Movistar KOI	$525	75.0¢	Won
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)	Fnatic	$317	69.0¢	Won
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stage	FlyQuest	$259	37.0¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs	Gen.G	$986	88.0¢	Won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	$734	58.0¢	Won
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	$610	40.0¢	Won
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs	LOS	$1.5k	83.0¢	Won
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	$996	83.0¢	Lost
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)	Team WE	$375	75.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B	Spirit	$584	73.0¢	Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	Movistar KOI	$288	64.0¢	Lost
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	T1	$1.2k	83.0¢	Lost
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	Hanwha Life Esports	$1.0k	66.0¢	Won
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$282	47.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	$369	52.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage	ex-Zero Tenacity	$322	46.0¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner	T1	$370	74.0¢	Lost
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	DetonatioN FocusMe	$202	28.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage	Bounty Hunters Esports	$119	85.0¢	Won
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage	Cloud9	$438	21.0¢	Lost
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	Esprit Shōnen	$203	31.0¢	Won
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	$536	67.0¢	Won
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	$469	67.0¢	Won
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	G2 Esports	$500	16.3¢	Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season	GIANTX	$267	83.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$1.3k	65.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	South America Rejects	$203	28.9¢	Won
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	G2 Esports	$1.1k	77.0¢	Won

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceLost
Team WE$271 @ 44.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
JD Gaming$278 @ 39.7¢
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$308 @ 44.0¢
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsWon
Evil Geniuses$305 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerWon
Dplus KIA$1.0k @ 68.0¢
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Won
FUT Esports$469 @ 67.0¢
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular SeasonWon
Arctic Pandas$202 @ 80.0¢
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerWon
Movistar KOI$710 @ 71.0¢
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerLost
Fluxo W7M$443 @ 44.0¢
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular SeasonWon
Fire Flux Esports$248 @ 31.0¢
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?Lost
Yes$912 @ 64.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
Bilibili Gaming$800 @ 80.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus PlayoffsLost
Team Vitality$359 @ 30.5¢
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Lost
Under$458 @ 51.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWon
JD Gaming$789 @ 56.0¢
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsWon
Sentinels$378 @ 54.0¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerLost
BetBoom Team$156 @ 64.0¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsLost
G2$710 @ 71.0¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerLost
Movistar KOI$600 @ 48.0¢
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsLost
LOUD$969 @ 48.3¢
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)Lost
EYEBALLERS$327 @ 46.0¢
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerWon
Team Liquid$660 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group StageWon
Movistar KOI$525 @ 75.0¢
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)Won
Fnatic$317 @ 69.0¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group StageLost
FlyQuest$259 @ 37.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsWon
Gen.G$986 @ 88.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
JD Gaming$734 @ 58.0¢
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffsWon
RED Canids$610 @ 40.0¢
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsWon
LOS$1.5k @ 83.0¢
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLost
G2 Esports$996 @ 83.0¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)Won
Team WE$375 @ 75.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BLost
Spirit$584 @ 73.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLost
Movistar KOI$288 @ 64.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerLost
T1$1.2k @ 83.0¢
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Won
Hanwha Life Esports$1.0k @ 66.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
No$282 @ 47.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AWon
Team Falcons$369 @ 52.0¢
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group StageWon
ex-Zero Tenacity$322 @ 46.0¢
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerLost
T1$370 @ 74.0¢
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonLost
DetonatioN FocusMe$202 @ 28.0¢
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group StageWon
Bounty Hunters Esports$119 @ 85.0¢
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group StageLost
Cloud9$438 @ 21.0¢
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsWon
Esprit Shōnen$203 @ 31.0¢
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)Won
Gen.G$536 @ 67.0¢
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
Bilibili Gaming$469 @ 67.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLost
G2 Esports$500 @ 16.3¢
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasonLost
GIANTX$267 @ 83.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 65.0¢
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageWon
South America Rejects$203 @ 28.9¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsWon
G2 Esports$1.1k @ 77.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Sports	FlyQuest	$1.1k	74.0¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Sports	Team Liquid	$756	63.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$566	25.9¢

LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsSports
FlyQuest$1.1k @ 74.0¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsSports
Team Liquid$756 @ 63.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$566 @ 25.9¢