0x40b9…a596

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x40b959d8f1823a3f01b1d6fdf144594918f5a596
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

ProfitableSniper

Edge

+6.7pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

58% @ 51.4¢

Brier

0.180

Resolved

1264

Avg size

$199

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (71/123)	+11%	123
Sports	54% (50/93)	+7%	93
Politics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other123 bets
Hit rate
58% (71/123)
ROI
+11%
Sports93 bets
Hit rate
54% (50/93)
ROI
+7%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

56% hit · 121/217

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5	Over	$21	10.0¢	Won
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5	Under	$178	86.5¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	$154	11.4¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-10-04?	No	$102	2.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	No	$2.3k	36.6¢	Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$1.1k	57.0¢	Won
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.0k	51.9¢	Lost
Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5	Over	$41	2.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw?	Yes	$243	85.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Over	$2.5k	52.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Under	$4.7k	70.5¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$1.0k	69.0¢	Lost
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	No	$58	2.7¢	Lost
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$207	86.0¢	Won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$5.0k	49.6¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Under	$6.6k	83.9¢	Won
Will Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?	Yes	$259	86.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5	Under	$53	5.0¢	Lost
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?	Yes	$221	23.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$1.8k	59.9¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$1.6k	38.6¢	Lost
Belgium vs. France: O/U 1.5	Under	$2.0k	84.6¢	Won
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5	Over	$860	63.0¢	Won
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Over	$469	40.3¢	Lost
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Under	$1.5k	71.6¢	Won
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5	Over	$5	7.0¢	Lost
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5	Over	$1.0k	78.3¢	Won
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5	Under	$1.0k	83.0¢	Won
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5	Under	$252	24.6¢	Won
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	$538	46.6¢	Lost
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Panama	$50	70.0¢	Won
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5	Over	$1.5k	37.8¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.5k	81.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Over	$428	14.4¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Under	$4.1k	66.4¢	Won
Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 3.5	Over	$41	2.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$763	42.4¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$5.0k	62.4¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	No	$315	62.8¢	Won
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$67	3.5¢	Lost
Millwall FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$589	37.0¢	Lost
Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	$7	75.0¢	Lost
US Amal Tiznit vs. IR Tanger: O/U 4.5	Under	$195	84.0¢	Won
Moldova vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5	Under	$134	85.0¢	Won
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-08-09?	No	$255	54.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$506	43.0¢	Lost
Will Celta Fortuna vs. CE Sabadell FC end in a draw?	Yes	$350	86.1¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	No	$2.7k	50.7¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$2.1k	42.8¢	Won
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	No	$371	20.1¢	Lost

Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$21 @ 10.0¢
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$178 @ 86.5¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Lost
No$154 @ 11.4¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-10-04?Lost
No$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Lost
No$2.3k @ 36.6¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 57.0¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$1.0k @ 51.9¢
Real Oviedo vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$41 @ 2.0¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw?Won
Yes$243 @ 85.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$2.5k @ 52.0¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Won
Under$4.7k @ 70.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 69.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Lost
No$58 @ 2.7¢
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Under$207 @ 86.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$5.0k @ 49.6¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Won
Under$6.6k @ 83.9¢
Will Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Won
Yes$259 @ 86.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$53 @ 5.0¢
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Lost
Yes$221 @ 23.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$1.8k @ 59.9¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 38.6¢
Belgium vs. France: O/U 1.5Won
Under$2.0k @ 84.6¢
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5Won
Over$860 @ 63.0¢
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$469 @ 40.3¢
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Won
Under$1.5k @ 71.6¢
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$5 @ 7.0¢
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Won
Over$1.0k @ 78.3¢
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Won
Under$1.0k @ 83.0¢
Czechia vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Won
Under$252 @ 24.6¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Lost
Croatia$538 @ 46.6¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Won
Panama$50 @ 70.0¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1.5k @ 37.8¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Won
Under$1.5k @ 81.0¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$428 @ 14.4¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Won
Under$4.1k @ 66.4¢
Lillestrøm SK vs. SC União Torreense: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$41 @ 2.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$763 @ 42.4¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Won
Under$5.0k @ 62.4¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Won
No$315 @ 62.8¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$67 @ 3.5¢
Millwall FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$589 @ 37.0¢
Will Inter Milano win on 2026-08-05?Lost
Yes$7 @ 75.0¢
US Amal Tiznit vs. IR Tanger: O/U 4.5Won
Under$195 @ 84.0¢
Moldova vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5Won
Under$134 @ 85.0¢
Will FBC Melgar win on 2026-08-09?Won
No$255 @ 54.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$506 @ 43.0¢
Will Celta Fortuna vs. CE Sabadell FC end in a draw?Won
Yes$350 @ 86.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Lost
No$2.7k @ 50.7¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 42.8¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Lost
No$371 @ 20.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$178	86.5¢
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$21	10.0¢

Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$178 @ 86.5¢
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$21 @ 10.0¢