0x4094…7d2e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4094369d3932f4f565ac57f5a81ab2437d407d2e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+35.5pp

ROI

+130%

Win rate

65% @ 29.9¢

Brier

0.297

Resolved

127

Avg size

$46

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	25% (6/24)	-24%	24
Politics	100% (3/3)	+150%	3
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other24 bets
Hit rate
25% (6/24)
ROI
-24%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+150%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

30% hit · 9/30

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 0 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$37	77.0¢	Lost
Virtus Bologna vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	Virtus Bologna	$24	27.4¢	Lost
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner	Djokovic	$6	4.0¢	Won
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.6k	41.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?	Yes	$23	7.0¢	Lost
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Saski Baskonia	KK Crvena Zvezda	$5	70.0¢	Won
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Saski Baskonia	Saski Baskonia	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hindu" or "Hinduism" during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?	Yes	$21	82.5¢	Won
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	KK Crvena Zvezda	$0	3.0¢	Lost
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen	KK Crvena Zvezda	$13	23.2¢	Lost
Valencia vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	KK Crvena Zvezda	$6	4.8¢	Lost
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketball	Paris Basketball	$23	6.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	$6	3.2¢	Lost
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	KK Crvena Zvezda	$6	4.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$10	22.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?	Yes	$9	9.9¢	Lost
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	$1.2k	35.5¢	Won
Monaco vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	KK Crvena Zvezda	$16	7.0¢	Won
Monaco vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	Monaco	$13	66.0¢	Lost
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan	KK Crvena Zvezda	$6	4.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	Yes	$439	44.0¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call?	Yes	$13	72.0¢	Won
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic	Djokovic	$11	7.0¢	Lost
Partizan vs. Paris Basketball	Partizan	$6	9.0¢	Lost
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	KK Crvena Zvezda	$41	5.9¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$13	32.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$316	54.5¢	Lost
Ethereum ETF Flows on October 20?	Negative	$10	22.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 1?	Yes	$16	3.2¢	Lost

Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 0 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
Yes$37 @ 77.0¢
Virtus Bologna vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaLost
Virtus Bologna$24 @ 27.4¢
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerWon
Djokovic$6 @ 4.0¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 41.2¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Lost
Yes$23 @ 7.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Saski BaskoniaWon
KK Crvena Zvezda$5 @ 70.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Saski BaskoniaLost
Saski Baskonia$5 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump say "Hindu" or "Hinduism" during Diwali Celebration events on October 21?Won
Yes$21 @ 82.5¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel AvivLost
KK Crvena Zvezda$0 @ 3.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern MunchenLost
KK Crvena Zvezda$13 @ 23.2¢
Valencia vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaLost
KK Crvena Zvezda$6 @ 4.8¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris BasketballLost
Paris Basketball$23 @ 6.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.2¢
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaLost
KK Crvena Zvezda$6 @ 4.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Lost
Yes$9 @ 9.9¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Won
No$1.2k @ 35.5¢
Monaco vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaWon
KK Crvena Zvezda$16 @ 7.0¢
Monaco vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaLost
Monaco$13 @ 66.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. PartizanLost
KK Crvena Zvezda$6 @ 4.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?Won
Yes$439 @ 44.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Grok" during earnings call?Won
Yes$13 @ 72.0¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicLost
Djokovic$11 @ 7.0¢
Partizan vs. Paris BasketballLost
Partizan$6 @ 9.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. KK Crvena ZvezdaLost
KK Crvena Zvezda$41 @ 5.9¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Lost
Yes$13 @ 32.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?Lost
Yes$316 @ 54.5¢
Ethereum ETF Flows on October 20?Won
Negative$10 @ 22.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 1?Lost
Yes$16 @ 3.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?	—	Yes	$240	54.4¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	—	Yes	$37	77.0¢
Virtus Bologna vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	—	Virtus Bologna	$24	27.4¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?	—	Yes	$23	7.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	—	KK Crvena Zvezda	$17	5.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 1?	—	Yes	$16	3.2¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen	—	KK Crvena Zvezda	$13	23.2¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic	—	Djokovic	$11	7.0¢
Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 0 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?	—	Yes	$10	5.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketball	Sports	Paris Basketball	$10	4.5¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$9	9.9¢
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	—	KK Crvena Zvezda	$6	4.0¢
Valencia vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	—	KK Crvena Zvezda	$6	4.8¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan	—	KK Crvena Zvezda	$6	4.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Sports	KK Crvena Zvezda	$0	3.0¢

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?—
Yes$240 @ 54.4¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?—
Yes$37 @ 77.0¢
Virtus Bologna vs. KK Crvena Zvezda—
Virtus Bologna$24 @ 27.4¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?—
Yes$23 @ 7.0¢
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. KK Crvena Zvezda—
KK Crvena Zvezda$17 @ 5.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 1?—
Yes$16 @ 3.2¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen—
KK Crvena Zvezda$13 @ 23.2¢
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic—
Djokovic$11 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 2 - 0 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?—
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris BasketballSports
Paris Basketball$10 @ 4.5¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$9 @ 9.9¢
Barcelona vs. KK Crvena Zvezda—
KK Crvena Zvezda$6 @ 4.0¢
Valencia vs. KK Crvena Zvezda—
KK Crvena Zvezda$6 @ 4.8¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizan—
KK Crvena Zvezda$6 @ 4.0¢
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel AvivSports
KK Crvena Zvezda$0 @ 3.0¢