0x3ffe…e125

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other34 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (26/34)

  ROI

  +14%

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (9/13)

  ROI

  -19%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (3/3)

  ROI

  +39%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +439%

• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$101 @ 59.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5.1k @ 41.5¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Won
  Yes$62 @ 62.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$186 @ 46.5¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$86 @ 57.3¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
  No$398 @ 72.4¢
• Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$80 @ 79.5¢
• Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?Won
  No$15 @ 12.9¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$135 @ 67.5¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026??Won
  No$17 @ 73.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
  No$126 @ 42.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
  No$1.3k @ 76.8¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$223 @ 74.3¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
  No$228 @ 63.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$63 @ 63.3¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 50.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 65.8¢
• Will Trump visit China by May 15?Won
  Yes$868 @ 78.9¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
  No$186 @ 53.3¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Won
  No$1.1k @ 79.4¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
  No$886 @ 70.7¢
• Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Won
  No$81 @ 81.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
  No$3.2k @ 57.5¢
• US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$122 @ 61.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Won
  Yes$199 @ 73.6¢
• Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$202 @ 81.0¢
• Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Won
  Yes$8 @ 88.0¢
• Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Lost
  Yes$59 @ 24.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Won
  No$455 @ 71.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
  Yes$181 @ 30.2¢
• Iran leadership change by April 30?Won
  No$575 @ 82.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$5.2k @ 81.8¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Won
  No$243 @ 81.1¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
  No$195 @ 55.7¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$79 @ 78.5¢
• Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Won
  Yes$129 @ 85.7¢
• Will Trump visit China by May 31?Won
  Yes$4.0k @ 75.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$4.8k @ 78.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$439 @ 26.4¢
• Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
  No$832 @ 78.1¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Won
  No$89 @ 88.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
  No$174 @ 87.1¢
• Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$730 @ 81.1¢
• Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?Won
  No$25 @ 25.2¢
• Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Lost
  No$43 @ 14.4¢
• Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 66.6¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$372 @ 62.0¢

Current positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$3.3k @ 89.1¢
• Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 84.2¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  Yes$2.1k @ 70.1¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$1.2k @ 91.7¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech
  No$1.0k @ 94.8¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolitics
  Yes$620 @ 66.0¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$538 @ 89.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
  No$524 @ 74.9¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  Yes$492 @ 82.0¢
• NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?—
  No$425 @ 85.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
  Yes$387 @ 64.5¢
• US x China tariff agreement by December 31?—
  Yes$291 @ 83.2¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?—
  No$273 @ 68.2¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Geopolitics
  No$272 @ 65.8¢
• Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics
  No$253 @ 84.2¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech
  No$139 @ 69.5¢
• Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  No$78 @ 78.0¢
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech
  No$67 @ 67.0¢
• Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics
  No$49 @ 54.1¢