← Smart money
0x3ffb…df76
ProfitableEdge
+4.1pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
55% @ 50.7¢
Brier
0.246
Resolved
3073
Avg size
$147
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 52% (482/932) | +6% | 932 |
| Sports | 48% (20/42) | -22% | 42 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +79% | 1 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other932 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (482/932)
- ROI
- +6%
- Sports42 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (20/42)
- ROI
- -22%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +79%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
51% hit · 503/977- magic$200 @ 52.0¢
- Cavaliers$200 @ 55.0¢
- Pistons$100 @ 43.0¢
- Blues$789 @ 41.4¢
- Pacers$100 @ 63.2¢
- Rockets$100 @ 56.5¢
- Toronto Blue Jays$100 @ 53.0¢
- Team Envy$223 @ 54.8¢
- FUT Esports$100 @ 55.0¢
- Grizzlies$100 @ 48.0¢
- Spirit$109 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$504 @ 70.5¢
- Legacy$102 @ 48.0¢
- Sabres$797 @ 54.2¢
- Over$100 @ 51.9¢
- Suns vs. LakersLostLakers$620 @ 62.0¢
- Clippers$200 @ 53.0¢
- Bucks$1000 @ 49.2¢
- 3DMAX$200 @ 54.0¢
- No$125 @ 68.0¢
- Seattle Mariners$103 @ 44.0¢
- 76ers$200 @ 64.0¢
- Rangers$1.7k @ 44.0¢
- Stars$1.3k @ 46.0¢
- Sharper Esport$201 @ 47.4¢
- Spurs$209 @ 66.7¢
- No$2.4k @ 89.0¢
- FURIA$100 @ 65.9¢
- Team Falcons$200 @ 53.0¢
- M80$100 @ 56.0¢
- Pistons vs. HeatLostPistons$100 @ 53.0¢
- Celtics$200 @ 49.5¢
- Rockets$100 @ 75.0¢
- Imperial$100 @ 39.0¢
- Timberwolves$500 @ 56.0¢
- Pacers$430 @ 31.0¢
- Maple Leafs$913 @ 30.0¢
- Hornets$100 @ 44.0¢
- Under$100 @ 53.8¢
- Spurs vs. KnicksLostKnicks$304 @ 55.0¢
- Spurs$16 @ 46.0¢
- Tomas Machac$100 @ 61.0¢
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2WonGlobal Esports$1.1k @ 42.9¢
- Nuggets$100 @ 52.0¢
- Timberwolves$100 @ 49.0¢
- Over$100 @ 52.0¢
- Kings vs. FlamesLostKings$157 @ 61.0¢
- FURIA$100 @ 59.0¢
- Paper Rex$200 @ 54.4¢
- Ducks$60 @ 50.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | Sports | No | $950 | 88.0¢ |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $879 | 38.1¢ |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | Sports | Paper Rex | $415 | 58.5¢ |
| Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | Sports | Yes | $400 | 26.0¢ |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | Sports | magic | $200 | 52.0¢ |
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | Sports | Team Vitality | $100 | 49.6¢ |
- No$950 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$879 @ 38.1¢
- Paper Rex$415 @ 58.5¢
- Yes$400 @ 26.0¢
- magic$200 @ 52.0¢
- Team Vitality$100 @ 49.6¢