0x3ff3…8c08

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3ff3d58edda13959e646ad47aed9b52583d88c08
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.1pp

ROI

+38%

Win rate

53% @ 35.1¢

Brier

0.170

Resolved

364

Avg size

$162

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (25/72)	+38%	72
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other72 bets
Hit rate
35% (25/72)
ROI
+38%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

34% hit · 25/74

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$9	0.6¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?	No	$301	21.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$339	69.8¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?	No	$11	38.0¢	Lost
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$466	60.7¢	Won
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	$745	53.6¢	Won
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$33	2.0¢	Lost
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$9	0.1¢	Lost
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$179	12.3¢	Lost
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	$992	62.0¢	Lost
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	$4.1k	40.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	$2.5k	32.2¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	$779	38.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	No	$112	33.5¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	$1.0k	25.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	No	$675	47.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	$577	45.8¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	$221	30.0¢	Lost
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?	No	$133	12.7¢	Lost
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$78	4.9¢	Lost
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$9	0.7¢	Lost
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$219	23.5¢	Lost
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	$25.6k	72.2¢	Won
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$135	8.4¢	Lost
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	$171	16.6¢	Won
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$17	1.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	$1.8k	79.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$286	26.8¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?	No	$76	49.9¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	$492	62.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	$1.3k	43.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?	No	$387	52.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	$1.4k	29.4¢	Lost
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	No	$414	45.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	No	$695	38.4¢	Won
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Lost
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	$718	35.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	$387	32.9¢	Lost
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$151	1.5¢	Lost
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$78	5.0¢	Lost
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$139	2.6¢	Lost

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?Lost
No$301 @ 21.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$339 @ 69.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Lost
No$11 @ 38.0¢
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$466 @ 60.7¢
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?Won
Yes$745 @ 53.6¢
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$33 @ 2.0¢
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.1¢
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$179 @ 12.3¢
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?Lost
Yes$992 @ 62.0¢
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Won
No$4.1k @ 40.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Lost
No$2.5k @ 32.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Won
No$779 @ 38.0¢
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?Lost
No$112 @ 33.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Won
No$1.0k @ 25.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Lost
No$675 @ 47.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?Won
No$577 @ 45.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Lost
No$221 @ 30.0¢
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?Lost
No$133 @ 12.7¢
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$78 @ 4.9¢
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 0.7¢
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$219 @ 23.5¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Won
No$25.6k @ 72.2¢
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$135 @ 8.4¢
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?Won
Yes$171 @ 16.6¢
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Won
No$1.8k @ 79.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$286 @ 26.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?Won
No$76 @ 49.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Won
No$492 @ 62.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 43.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Won
No$387 @ 52.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Lost
No$1.4k @ 29.4¢
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Won
No$414 @ 45.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Won
No$695 @ 38.4¢
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Lost
No$718 @ 35.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Lost
No$387 @ 32.9¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$151 @ 1.5¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$78 @ 5.0¢
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Lost
Yes$139 @ 2.6¢

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