0x3ff1…1be9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3ff132f129c42a92c64bd2d7f7269f4b7b9c1be9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+2.2pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

83% @ 80.9¢

Brier

0.138

Resolved

2488

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	83% (322/388)	+6%	388
Sports	79% (84/106)	+1%	106
Politics	77% (44/57)	-3%	57
Crypto	74% (28/38)	-11%	38
Geopolitics	100% (13/13)	+24%	13
Culture	75% (3/4)	+1%	4
Tech	100% (3/3)	+14%	3
Science	100% (3/3)	+20%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+32%	1
Business	100% (1/1)	+15%	1

Other388 bets
Hit rate
83% (322/388)
ROI
+6%
Sports106 bets
Hit rate
79% (84/106)
ROI
+1%
Politics57 bets
Hit rate
77% (44/57)
ROI
-3%
Crypto38 bets
Hit rate
74% (28/38)
ROI
-11%
Geopolitics13 bets
Hit rate
100% (13/13)
ROI
+24%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+1%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+14%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+20%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%

Track record

82% hit · 502/614

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?	Yes	$5	91.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	No	$5	92.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9?	Yes	$9	87.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	$8	80.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?	Yes	$30	84.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	$9	84.0¢	Won
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$5	92.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?	No	$4	81.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8?	No	$5	89.8¢	Won
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	$27	80.0¢	Lost
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?	Yes	$8	78.0¢	Won
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller	Zsombor Piros	$4	86.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	$4	81.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8?	No	$9	91.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?	Yes	$30	87.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	$18	87.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8?	No	$4	83.0¢	Lost
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	Yes	$4	87.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	$28	87.0¢	Won
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?	No	$14	89.7¢	Won
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	$8	81.5¢	Won
Bucks vs. Thunder	Thunder	$9	86.0¢	Lost
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	$18	87.0¢	Won
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou	Mattia Bellucci	$8	76.0¢	Lost
Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski	Philip Henning	$8	78.0¢	Won
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	$9	86.0¢	Lost
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$4	85.0¢	Lost
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	$7	70.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	$3	68.0¢	Won
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	No	$8	78.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$40	86.8¢	Won
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers	SSG Landers	$8	81.0¢	Lost
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	$8	87.0¢	Won
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	$64	86.0¢	Won
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	$0	86.0¢	Lost
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	No	$4	76.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5	Over	$28	77.7¢	Won
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	$27	87.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?	Yes	$8	87.0¢	Won
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?	Yes	$56	79.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5	Over	$56	78.3¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?	No	$4	75.0¢	Won
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?	No	$17	82.0¢	Won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Cabo Verde	$4	70.0¢	Won
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb	Tristan Schoolkate	$44	79.1¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	$25	82.0¢	Won

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?Won
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?Won
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 9?Lost
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?Won
Yes$8 @ 80.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 9?Won
Yes$30 @ 84.4¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsWon
Vitality$9 @ 84.0¢
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?Won
No$4 @ 81.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 8?Won
No$5 @ 89.8¢
Buccaneers vs. CowboysLost
Cowboys$27 @ 80.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?Won
Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer MoellerLost
Zsombor Piros$4 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?Won
No$4 @ 81.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?Lost
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 8?Won
No$9 @ 91.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8?Lost
Yes$30 @ 87.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?Won
No$18 @ 87.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8?Lost
No$4 @ 83.0¢
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?Won
Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsWon
Team Yandex$28 @ 87.0¢
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?Won
No$14 @ 89.7¢
Warriors vs. Trail BlazersWon
Trail Blazers$8 @ 81.5¢
Bucks vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$9 @ 86.0¢
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 5 2026?Won
Yes$18 @ 87.0¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi ZhouLost
Mattia Bellucci$8 @ 76.0¢
Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks KasnikowskiWon
Philip Henning$8 @ 78.0¢
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT WizLost
KT Wiz$9 @ 86.0¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Won
No$7 @ 70.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 68.0¢
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Won
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Won
Yes$40 @ 86.8¢
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG LandersLost
SSG Landers$8 @ 81.0¢
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Won
Yes$8 @ 87.0¢
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-25?Won
No$64 @ 86.0¢
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Lost
No$0 @ 86.0¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWon
No$4 @ 76.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Won
Over$28 @ 77.7¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Won
No$27 @ 87.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 21?Won
Yes$8 @ 87.0¢
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?Lost
Yes$56 @ 79.5¢
Exact Score: DR Congo 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Won
Over$56 @ 78.3¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?Won
No$4 @ 75.0¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?Won
No$17 @ 82.0¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Won
Cabo Verde$4 @ 70.0¢
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul JubbWon
Tristan Schoolkate$44 @ 79.1¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Won
No$25 @ 82.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Politics	Yes	$30	86.3¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11?	Sports	Yes	$29	79.8¢
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Culture	No	$28	79.1¢
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?	Politics	Yes	$27	77.0¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$27	77.1¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	No	$27	89.3¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	No	$27	77.4¢
Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?	Politics	Yes	$27	76.0¢
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	Politics	No	$27	88.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	Crypto	No	$27	88.0¢
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?	Politics	Yes	$27	75.0¢
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Politics	No	$27	87.3¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$25	82.2¢
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	No	$19	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?	Crypto	No	$17	83.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Sports	Yes	$16	77.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	Crypto	No	$9	92.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 9?	Science	No	$9	92.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Sports	Vitality	$9	84.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 12?	Crypto	Yes	$9	87.3¢
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	—	Yes	$9	87.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Tech	No	$9	84.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Tech	No	$8	81.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Crypto	Yes	$8	80.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Politics	No	$8	79.0¢
Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?	Sports	No	$8	78.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	Crypto	No	$5	92.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?	Crypto	Yes	$5	91.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Sports	Yes	$5	91.0¢
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$5	89.0¢

Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics
Yes$30 @ 86.3¢
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11?Sports
Yes$29 @ 79.8¢
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Culture
No$28 @ 79.1¢
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?Politics
Yes$27 @ 77.0¢
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$27 @ 77.1¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-10?Sports
No$27 @ 89.3¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
No$27 @ 77.4¢
Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Politics
Yes$27 @ 76.0¢
Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics
No$27 @ 88.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?Crypto
No$27 @ 88.0¢
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics
Yes$27 @ 75.0¢
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics
No$27 @ 87.3¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$25 @ 82.2¢
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
No$19 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?Crypto
No$17 @ 83.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?Sports
Yes$16 @ 77.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?Crypto
No$9 @ 92.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on October 9?Science
No$9 @ 92.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSports
Vitality$9 @ 84.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 12?Crypto
Yes$9 @ 87.3¢
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?—
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Tech
No$9 @ 84.0¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?Tech
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?Crypto
Yes$8 @ 80.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Politics
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?Sports
No$8 @ 78.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?Crypto
No$5 @ 92.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 9?Crypto
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?Sports
Yes$5 @ 91.0¢
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 89.0¢