0x3f5e…ddaa

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3f5e36cc4b759df96507d87718881118c5b4ddaa
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+5.7pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

52% @ 46.8¢

Brier

0.227

Resolved

2608

Avg size

$84

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (322/687)	+11%	687
Sports	45% (25/55)	-3%	55
Culture	100% (4/4)	+22%	4
Politics	100% (2/2)	+54%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other687 bets
Hit rate
47% (322/687)
ROI
+11%
Sports55 bets
Hit rate
45% (25/55)
ROI
-3%
Culture4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+22%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+54%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 353/751

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska	Maja Chwalinska	$1.0k	63.0¢	Lost
Panthers vs. Sharks	Sharks	$860	43.0¢	Won
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	$1.1k	48.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$1.2k	48.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	Yes	$8	43.0¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?	Yes	$500	81.1¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$100	45.0¢	Lost
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$100	68.0¢	Won
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$492	84.4¢	Won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	$100	27.0¢	Lost
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	$971	88.0¢	Won
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner	VARREL	$69	32.1¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	Yes	$862	86.2¢	Won
Flyers vs. Sabres	Flyers	$200	43.0¢	Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$97	19.4¢	Lost
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?	Yes	$573	71.6¢	Won
Predators vs. Utah	Predators	$200	43.0¢	Won
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?	No	$233	34.8¢	Won
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?	Yes	$230	46.0¢	Won
Flyers vs. Canadiens	Flyers	$200	47.0¢	Won
Utah vs. Islanders	Islanders	$100	50.0¢	Lost
ELH: Sparta Prague vs. Karlovy Vary	Karlovy Vary	$620	31.0¢	Won
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	Yes	$91	28.0¢	Lost
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	$158	59.0¢	Won
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche	Blue Jackets	$100	28.0¢	Lost
Wild vs. Oilers	Wild	$100	42.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$1.0k	88.0¢	Won
Senators vs. Avalanche	Senators	$100	31.0¢	Lost
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?	No	$100	22.0¢	Lost
Islanders vs. Lightning	Islanders	$100	38.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?	No	$100	25.0¢	Lost
Bruins vs. Panthers	Bruins	$200	41.0¢	Lost
Oilers vs. Canucks	Oilers	$165	33.0¢	Won
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 1.5	Over	$201	79.0¢	Won
Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	$200	41.0¢	Lost
Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5	Over	$38	70.0¢	Lost
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 73 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	$5	50.0¢	Lost
CEHL: Olomouc vs. Liberec	Olomouc	$100	46.0¢	Won
Flyers vs. Bruins	Flyers	$100	40.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	$510	51.0¢	Won
Blue Jackets vs. Ducks	Ducks	$200	50.0¢	Won
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	$21	4.8¢	Lost
Wild vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	$46	51.0¢	Lost
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$100	35.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	No	$865	66.8¢	Won
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	No	$139	80.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$215	43.0¢	Won
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-08?	Yes	$520	52.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs	Team Secret	$121	31.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs	ZETA DIVISION	$422	57.9¢	Won

China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja ChwalinskaLost
Maja Chwalinska$1.0k @ 63.0¢
Panthers vs. SharksWon
Sharks$860 @ 43.0¢
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWon
Over$1.1k @ 48.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 48.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?Lost
Yes$8 @ 43.0¢
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?Won
Yes$500 @ 81.1¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
Yes$100 @ 45.0¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$100 @ 68.0¢
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
Yes$492 @ 84.4¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Lost
No$100 @ 27.0¢
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Won
Yes$971 @ 88.0¢
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerLost
VARREL$69 @ 32.1¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Won
Yes$862 @ 86.2¢
Flyers vs. SabresLost
Flyers$200 @ 43.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
No$97 @ 19.4¢
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?Won
Yes$573 @ 71.6¢
Predators vs. UtahWon
Predators$200 @ 43.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?Won
No$233 @ 34.8¢
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?Won
Yes$230 @ 46.0¢
Flyers vs. CanadiensWon
Flyers$200 @ 47.0¢
Utah vs. IslandersLost
Islanders$100 @ 50.0¢
ELH: Sparta Prague vs. Karlovy VaryWon
Karlovy Vary$620 @ 31.0¢
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Lost
Yes$91 @ 28.0¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Won
No$158 @ 59.0¢
Blue Jackets vs. AvalancheLost
Blue Jackets$100 @ 28.0¢
Wild vs. OilersWon
Wild$100 @ 42.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Won
No$1.0k @ 88.0¢
Senators vs. AvalancheLost
Senators$100 @ 31.0¢
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?Lost
No$100 @ 22.0¢
Islanders vs. LightningWon
Islanders$100 @ 38.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?Lost
No$100 @ 25.0¢
Bruins vs. PanthersLost
Bruins$200 @ 41.0¢
Oilers vs. CanucksWon
Oilers$165 @ 33.0¢
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Won
Over$201 @ 79.0¢
Avalanche vs. WildLost
Wild$200 @ 41.0¢
Montevideo City Torque vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$38 @ 70.0¢
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" score at least 73 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
No$5 @ 50.0¢
CEHL: Olomouc vs. LiberecWon
Olomouc$100 @ 46.0¢
Flyers vs. BruinsLost
Flyers$100 @ 40.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?Won
Yes$510 @ 51.0¢
Blue Jackets vs. DucksWon
Ducks$200 @ 50.0¢
Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Lost
Yes$21 @ 4.8¢
Wild vs. Maple LeafsLost
Maple Leafs$46 @ 51.0¢
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$100 @ 35.0¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?Won
No$865 @ 66.8¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Won
No$139 @ 80.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$215 @ 43.0¢
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-08?Lost
Yes$520 @ 52.0¢
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsLost
Team Secret$121 @ 31.0¢
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsWon
ZETA DIVISION$422 @ 57.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	—	Over	$1.1k	48.0¢
China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska	Sports	Maja Chwalinska	$1.0k	63.0¢
Panthers vs. Sharks	Sports	Sharks	$860	43.0¢
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$34	25.0¢
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Politics	Yes	$28	36.0¢
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$15	18.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	50.0¢

Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners—
Over$1.1k @ 48.0¢
China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja ChwalinskaSports
Maja Chwalinska$1.0k @ 63.0¢
Panthers vs. SharksSports
Sharks$860 @ 43.0¢
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Politics
Yes$34 @ 25.0¢
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Politics
Yes$28 @ 36.0¢
Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?Politics
Yes$15 @ 18.0¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢