0x3f41…3769

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3f41822a68c0a2bd1f11e6257d731f9b70903769
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.4pp

ROI

+61%

Win rate

35% @ 24.4¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

118

Avg size

$58

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	42% (27/65)	+76%	65
Other	8% (2/24)	-44%	24

Sports65 bets
Hit rate
42% (27/65)
ROI
+76%
Other24 bets
Hit rate
8% (2/24)
ROI
-44%

Track record

33% hit · 29/89

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	No	$10	63.0¢	Lost
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Australia	$40	48.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	1.8¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$151	67.0¢	Won
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$10	16.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$369	12.5¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Under	$41	46.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?	Yes	$5	0.6¢	Lost
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	$304	54.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	Over	$102	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$126	42.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?	Yes	$5	16.0¢	Lost
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5	Under	$153	41.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$31	39.0¢	Won
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5	Under	$61	41.0¢	Won
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	$10	21.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	$155	34.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$234	7.6¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5	Under	$5	7.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$143	28.2¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	3.9¢	Lost
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)	Curaçao	$30	63.0¢	Won
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$205	20.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	$5	13.0¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$21	14.0¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Germany	$20	50.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Haiti?	Yes	$5	2.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	$26	3.0¢	Lost
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)	IR Iran	$10	27.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?	Yes	$10	5.4¢	Lost
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Brazil	$152	53.0¢	Won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	Haiti	$126	60.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	$4	1.8¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$31	26.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?	Yes	$5	4.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	$5	5.6¢	Lost
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?	Yes	$5	0.8¢	Lost
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	$5	2.4¢	Lost
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	Belgium	$20	34.0¢	Lost
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	$103	14.0¢	Won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$117	40.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5	Under	$86	61.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	$4	38.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$20	28.0¢	Won
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5	Under	$152	59.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	$10	15.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$605	15.6¢	Won
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5	Under	$152	55.0¢	Lost

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsLost
No$10 @ 63.0¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLost
Australia$40 @ 48.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.8¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$151 @ 67.0¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Lost
Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$369 @ 12.5¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Won
Under$41 @ 46.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.6¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersLost
Over$304 @ 54.0¢
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$102 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Won
Argentina$126 @ 42.0¢
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 Uruguay?Lost
Yes$5 @ 16.0¢
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Won
Under$153 @ 41.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
Yes$31 @ 39.0¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Won
Under$61 @ 41.0¢
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ALost
Team Falcons$155 @ 34.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$234 @ 7.6¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Won
Under$5 @ 7.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$143 @ 28.2¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$103 @ 3.9¢
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Won
Curaçao$30 @ 63.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Lost
Yes$205 @ 20.0¢
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.0¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$21 @ 14.0¢
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Won
Germany$20 @ 50.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Haiti?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?Lost
Yes$26 @ 3.0¢
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Lost
IR Iran$10 @ 27.0¢
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?Lost
Yes$10 @ 5.4¢
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Won
Brazil$152 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Lost
Haiti$126 @ 60.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Algeria?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.8¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Lost
Yes$31 @ 26.2¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.2¢
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?Lost
Yes$5 @ 5.6¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.8¢
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Lost
Belgium$20 @ 34.0¢
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Won
Yes$103 @ 14.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Won
Argentina$117 @ 40.0¢
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$86 @ 61.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Won
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Won
Under$152 @ 59.0¢
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria?Lost
Yes$10 @ 15.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$605 @ 15.6¢
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$152 @ 55.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	—	Argentina	$350	68.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$227	7.6¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Sports	Team Falcons	$150	34.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$100	3.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Sports	Nemiga	$80	14.0¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	—	Australia	$40	48.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	—	Yes	$25	7.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	—	Yes	$25	4.8¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals	—	No	$10	63.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?	—	Yes	$5	6.6¢
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt?	—	Yes	$5	6.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?	—	Yes	$5	5.6¢

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)—
Argentina$350 @ 68.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$227 @ 7.6¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ASports
Team Falcons$150 @ 34.0¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$100 @ 3.9¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsSports
Nemiga$80 @ 14.0¢
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance—
Australia$40 @ 48.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?—
Yes$25 @ 7.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?—
Yes$25 @ 4.8¢
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals—
No$10 @ 63.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?—
Yes$5 @ 6.6¢
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt?—
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?—
Yes$5 @ 5.6¢