0x3f21…3bce

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3f216ba174ce77d2b891cf3a2c4747ca06cf3bce
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.9pp

ROI

+141%

Win rate

36% @ 29.1¢

Brier

0.149

Resolved

331

Avg size

$23

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (29/83)	+252%	83
Sports	73% (8/11)	+23%	11
Politics	0% (0/6)	-100%	6

Other83 bets
Hit rate
35% (29/83)
ROI
+252%
Sports11 bets
Hit rate
73% (8/11)
ROI
+23%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%

Track record

37% hit · 37/100

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$13	13.0¢	Won
Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$21	19.0¢	Lost
Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)	CSyD Defensa y Justicia	$5	2.6¢	Lost
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Real Betis Balompié	$20	10.0¢	Lost
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5	Over	$0	3.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$421	23.0¢	Lost
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?	Yes	$8	2.1¢	Lost
Atlanta United FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5	Over	$54	15.0¢	Lost
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)	Houston Dynamo	$36	7.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?	Yes	$2	5.5¢	Lost
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?	Yes	$6	31.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs MAJIX ESPORTS - Map 1 Winner	MAJIX ESPORTS	$260	48.7¢	Lost
Atlanta United FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5	Over	$87	17.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.9¢	Lost
CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5	Over	$18	12.0¢	Lost
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	$5	51.0¢	Won
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Lost
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)	Colorado Rapids SC	$0	4.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	$90	9.0¢	Lost
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)	Colorado Rapids SC	$14	9.0¢	Lost
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?	Yes	$15	15.0¢	Lost
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5	Over	$15	15.0¢	Lost
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	$20	68.0¢	Lost
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5	Over	$39	13.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Benched gods - Map 1 Winner	Benched gods	$56	64.2¢	Lost
New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$33	54.0¢	Lost
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)	Houston Dynamo	$21	8.0¢	Lost
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	$353	65.2¢	Won
New York Red Bulls vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5	Over	$34	17.0¢	Won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5	Over	$16	40.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$218	3.9¢	Won
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)	San Jose Earthquakes	$27	5.4¢	Won
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5	Over	$18	6.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: NeverPlay vs Pitstop crew - Map 2 Winner	Pitstop crew	$112	69.9¢	Won
Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)	Independiente Santa Fe	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$45	64.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs MAJIX ESPORTS (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage	INFURITY Gaming	$185	71.6¢	Won
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-20?	Yes	$13	25.0¢	Lost
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?	Yes	$28	18.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$7	9.5¢	Won
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$52	0.1¢	Lost
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	$18	0.7¢	Lost
CF Montréal vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5	Over	$18	15.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner	Dripmen	$285	69.2¢	Lost
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)	Los Angeles FC	$6	6.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?	Yes	$52	52.0¢	Lost
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-08?	Yes	$16	13.7¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$20	1.0¢	Lost
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5	Over	$33	32.0¢	Won

Will Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Toronto FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5Won
Over$13 @ 13.0¢
Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$21 @ 19.0¢
Spread: CSyD Defensa y Justicia (-2.5)Lost
CSyD Defensa y Justicia$5 @ 2.6¢
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Lost
Real Betis Balompié$20 @ 10.0¢
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Won
Over$0 @ 3.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$421 @ 23.0¢
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-17?Lost
Yes$8 @ 2.1¢
Atlanta United FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$54 @ 15.0¢
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Won
Houston Dynamo$36 @ 7.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?Lost
Yes$2 @ 5.5¢
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Won
Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs MAJIX ESPORTS - Map 1 WinnerLost
MAJIX ESPORTS$260 @ 48.7¢
Atlanta United FC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$87 @ 17.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$18 @ 12.0¢
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?Won
No$5 @ 51.0¢
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?Lost
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Lost
Colorado Rapids SC$0 @ 4.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$90 @ 9.0¢
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Lost
Colorado Rapids SC$14 @ 9.0¢
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$15 @ 15.0¢
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 68.0¢
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5Won
Over$39 @ 13.0¢
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Benched gods - Map 1 WinnerLost
Benched gods$56 @ 64.2¢
New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$33 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)Lost
Houston Dynamo$21 @ 8.0¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Won
Yes$353 @ 65.2¢
New York Red Bulls vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Won
Over$34 @ 17.0¢
Colorado Rapids SC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$16 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$218 @ 3.9¢
Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)Won
San Jose Earthquakes$27 @ 5.4¢
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$18 @ 6.0¢
Counter-Strike: NeverPlay vs Pitstop crew - Map 2 WinnerWon
Pitstop crew$112 @ 69.9¢
Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)Lost
Independiente Santa Fe$11 @ 11.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$45 @ 64.0¢
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs MAJIX ESPORTS (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders StageWon
INFURITY Gaming$185 @ 71.6¢
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-20?Lost
Yes$13 @ 25.0¢
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-06?Lost
Yes$28 @ 18.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
Yes$7 @ 9.5¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
Yes$52 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
No$18 @ 0.7¢
CF Montréal vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$18 @ 15.0¢
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerLost
Dripmen$285 @ 69.2¢
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Lost
Los Angeles FC$6 @ 6.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?Lost
Yes$52 @ 52.0¢
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-08?Lost
Yes$16 @ 13.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5Won
Over$33 @ 32.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2026-07-30?	—	Yes	$31	31.0¢
MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. AEK Lárnakas: Team to Advance	—	AEK Lárnakas	$4	20.0¢

Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2026-07-30?—
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. AEK Lárnakas: Team to Advance—
AEK Lárnakas$4 @ 20.0¢