0x3f0c…0217

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3f0c6d5318ca78d70ef41bf4470e9ca8ebd20217
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.7pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

81% @ 62.0¢

Brier

0.122

Resolved

140

Avg size

$88

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	50% (4/8)	-25%	8
Politics	100% (6/6)	+45%	6
Other	75% (3/4)	+30%	4
Culture	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Sports	100% (1/1)	+27%	1

Science8 bets
Hit rate
50% (4/8)
ROI
-25%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+45%
Other4 bets
Hit rate
75% (3/4)
ROI
+30%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%

Track record

67% hit · 14/21

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$88	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	No	$352	55.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?	No	$108	52.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.1k	78.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27?	Yes	$66	12.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	$3.0k	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?	No	$30	66.9¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	$72	48.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?	No	$185	67.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	$1.5k	73.9¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	$161	74.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	$669	63.8¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	Yes	$42	30.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	$134	82.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?	Yes	$3	72.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	$488	70.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	$2.0k	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	No	$53	49.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	$842	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28?	No	$300	59.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	$1.2k	80.0¢	Won

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$88 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?Lost
No$352 @ 55.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?Lost
No$108 @ 52.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.1k @ 78.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$66 @ 12.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Won
No$3.0k @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 2?Won
No$30 @ 66.9¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?Lost
Yes$72 @ 48.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?Won
No$185 @ 67.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 73.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Won
No$161 @ 74.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Won
No$669 @ 63.8¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Lost
Yes$42 @ 30.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Won
No$134 @ 82.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?Won
Yes$3 @ 72.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Won
No$488 @ 70.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Won
No$2.0k @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?Lost
No$53 @ 49.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Won
No$842 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28?Won
No$300 @ 59.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Won
No$1.2k @ 80.0¢

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