← Smart money
0x3eca…ab82
ProfitableEdge
+35.7pp
ROI
+221%
Win rate
58% @ 22.5¢
Brier
0.374
Resolved
122
Avg size
$72
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (8/12) | +272% | 12 |
| Politics | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Tech | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +1595% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +52% | 1 |
- Other12 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (8/12)
- ROI
- +272%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1595%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +52%
Track record
45% hit · 10/22- Yes$31 @ 0.4¢
- No$347 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$199 @ 13.1¢
- Yes$77 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$510 @ 25.5¢
- No$100 @ 65.8¢
- Yes$62 @ 5.9¢
- Yes$66 @ 11.0¢
- No$30 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$88 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$3.6k @ 19.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 36.3¢
- Yes$47 @ 23.5¢
- No$134 @ 43.1¢
- Yes$758 @ 54.8¢
- Yes$248 @ 22.2¢
- Yes$520 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$60 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$152 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$136 @ 82.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Geopolitics | No | $2.0k | 91.2¢ |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | No | $986 | 61.7¢ |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $637 | 38.4¢ |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | Tech | No | $276 | 92.0¢ |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Tech | No | $120 | 99.6¢ |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Tech | No | $55 | 99.2¢ |
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$2.0k @ 91.2¢
- No$986 @ 61.7¢
- Yes$637 @ 38.4¢
- No$276 @ 92.0¢
- No$120 @ 99.6¢
- No$55 @ 99.2¢