0x3e23…e933

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3e23e656cda94ae13fcbeff6398f42b000f9e933
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.3pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

71% @ 60.4¢

Brier

0.181

Resolved

646

Avg size

$302

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	56% (44/79)	-1%	79
Other	54% (42/78)	+10%	78
Politics	100% (4/4)	+21%	4
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+43%	1

Sports79 bets
Hit rate
56% (44/79)
ROI
-1%
Other78 bets
Hit rate
54% (42/78)
ROI
+10%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+43%

Track record

56% hit · 91/162

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	$418	50.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	NIP	$118	59.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	Monte	$59	59.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Legacy	$10.7k	28.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Heroic	$200	62.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Alliance	$550	55.0¢	Lost
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	53.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FURIA	$1.5k	76.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$7.4k	92.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$18	92.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	$1.7k	79.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins	Liquid	$7	70.0¢	Lost
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$65	2.1¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$470	68.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	9z	$5.3k	47.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	$52	74.0¢	Won
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$2.0k	66.0¢	Lost
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	$10	53.0¢	Lost
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	$4.7k	77.1¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$287	8.6¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$10	48.0¢	Won
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$47	11.0¢	Lost
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?	Yes	$10	33.7¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	FUT Esports	$4.7k	43.0¢	Won
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$354	61.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	$5.3k	85.9¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	$31	75.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	FURIA	$686	41.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	Team Falcons	$1.1k	67.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2	Astralis	$3.8k	58.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	$36	72.0¢	Won
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	No	$3.2k	57.1¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	$50	78.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	BetBoom Team	$121	67.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Natus Vincere	$3.4k	71.0¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	$5	47.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	$7	72.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	FlyQuest	$304	76.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$102	60.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Natus Vincere	$442	73.0¢	Won
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$41	35.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$200	75.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	$10	26.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	$4.6k	78.6¢	Won
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$334	70.0¢	Won
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$460	51.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	12.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MOUZ	$302	72.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	$1.8k	65.0¢	Lost
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?	Yes	$112	64.5¢	Won

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerLost
T1$418 @ 50.4¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageLost
NIP$118 @ 59.0¢
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageLost
Monte$59 @ 59.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
Legacy$10.7k @ 28.0¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Lost
Heroic$200 @ 62.0¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsLost
Alliance$550 @ 55.0¢
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 53.8¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BLost
FURIA$1.5k @ 76.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$7.4k @ 92.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$18 @ 92.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageLost
TheMongolz$1.7k @ 79.1¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-InsLost
Liquid$7 @ 70.0¢
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$65 @ 2.1¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$470 @ 68.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
9z$5.3k @ 47.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsWon
Vitality$52 @ 74.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksLost
Knicks$2.0k @ 66.0¢
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesLost
New York Yankees$10 @ 53.0¢
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?Won
Yes$4.7k @ 77.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$287 @ 8.6¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$10 @ 48.0¢
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$47 @ 11.0¢
Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 33.7¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
FUT Esports$4.7k @ 43.0¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$354 @ 61.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group AWon
Vitality$5.3k @ 85.9¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageWon
FUT Esports$31 @ 75.2¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsLost
FURIA$686 @ 41.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$1.1k @ 67.0¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Lost
Astralis$3.8k @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageWon
FUT Esports$36 @ 72.0¢
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$3.2k @ 57.1¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageWon
FUT Esports$50 @ 78.0¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageWon
BetBoom Team$121 @ 67.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Won
Natus Vincere$3.4k @ 71.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Won
Yes$5 @ 47.0¢
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageWon
Aurora Gaming$7 @ 72.0¢
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Won
FlyQuest$304 @ 76.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$102 @ 60.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsWon
Natus Vincere$442 @ 73.0¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
Yes$41 @ 35.0¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$200 @ 75.0¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageLost
TheMongolz$10 @ 26.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsWon
Vitality$4.6k @ 78.6¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$334 @ 70.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$460 @ 51.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 12.1¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffsWon
MOUZ$302 @ 72.0¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLost
Natus Vincere$1.8k @ 65.0¢
Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Won
Yes$112 @ 64.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Sports	Legacy	$10.7k	28.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$7.4k	92.0¢
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Sports	Spain	$6.0k	58.5¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	No	$1.8k	71.0¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	—	FaZe	$1.7k	75.1¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	—	FURIA	$1.5k	76.0¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	—	magic	$1.2k	53.9¢
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?	—	Yes	$1.1k	53.8¢
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Sports	Ilia Topuria	$567	81.0¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Sports	Alliance	$550	55.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	—	T1	$418	50.4¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	Sports	9z	$210	70.0¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	—	B8	$205	57.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Sports	Yes	$200	76.0¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sports	Heroic	$200	62.0¢
Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?	—	Yes	$134	29.0¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	—	NIP	$118	59.0¢
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)	—	Sinners	$99	62.0¢
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage	—	Monte	$59	59.0¢
Counter-Strike: 5star vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner	—	TheMongolz	$33	82.0¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Sports	FUT Esports	$20	70.0¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Sports	Legacy	$13	44.0¢
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$13	32.0¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Sports	9z	$12	88.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Sports	Spirit	$10	55.0¢
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A	—	AM Gaming	$10	31.6¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs	—	Top Esports	$5	50.0¢
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?	—	Yes	$3	8.0¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Sports
Legacy$10.7k @ 28.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$7.4k @ 92.0¢
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Sports
Spain$6.0k @ 58.5¢
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?Sports
No$1.8k @ 71.0¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs—
FaZe$1.7k @ 75.1¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B—
FURIA$1.5k @ 76.0¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs—
magic$1.2k @ 53.9¢
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?—
Yes$1.1k @ 53.8¢
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports
Ilia Topuria$567 @ 81.0¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 PlayoffsSports
Alliance$550 @ 55.0¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner—
T1$418 @ 50.4¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageSports
9z$210 @ 70.0¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage—
B8$205 @ 57.0¢
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Sports
Yes$200 @ 76.0¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Sports
Heroic$200 @ 62.0¢
Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?—
Yes$134 @ 29.0¢
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage—
NIP$118 @ 59.0¢
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)—
Sinners$99 @ 62.0¢
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage—
Monte$59 @ 59.0¢
Counter-Strike: 5star vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner—
TheMongolz$33 @ 82.0¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsSports
FUT Esports$20 @ 70.0¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSports
Legacy$13 @ 44.0¢
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Sports
Yes$13 @ 32.0¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSports
9z$12 @ 88.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSports
Spirit$10 @ 55.0¢
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A—
AM Gaming$10 @ 31.6¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs—
Top Esports$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Natus Vincere Win the CS2 EWC 2026?—
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢