0x3e22…924d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3e222638e3109a8b3a3704c4e5af55d7bab0924d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.2pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

78% @ 63.9¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

123

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	79% (64/81)	+14%	81
Politics	89% (8/9)	+5%	9
Science	100% (1/1)	+37%	1

Other81 bets
Hit rate
79% (64/81)
ROI
+14%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
89% (8/9)
ROI
+5%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+37%

Track record

80% hit · 73/91

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	$5	94.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 20?	No	$1	84.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?	No	$5	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?	No	$4	81.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$9	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 5?	No	$3	87.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?	No	$7	66.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$23	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?	Yes	$2	45.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on March 29?	No	$4	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?	No	$6	60.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 23?	No	$1	81.9¢	Won
Will Trump post "Ass" on Truth Social this week?	No	$1	85.0¢	Won
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$1	37.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?	No	$1	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	No	$4	83.0¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$16	81.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?	Yes	$6	63.5¢	Won
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?	No	$3	79.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$5	73.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "NATO" or "Friend" or "Ally" 7+ times during events with Japanese PM?	Yes	$1	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$11	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?	No	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?	No	$8	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 27?	Yes	$1	14.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 5?	Yes	$5	70.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$8	84.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?	Yes	$6	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?	Yes	$1	7.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?	No	$4	73.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?	No	$3	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 6?	Yes	$5	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 21?	Yes	$1	87.0¢	Won
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	No	$3	90.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 19?	No	$3	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 21?	Yes	$4	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5?	Yes	$5	84.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on April 2?	No	$5	83.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?	No	$10	69.3¢	Lost
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$11	53.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 19?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 21?	No	$1	83.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$11	30.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 27?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 20?	Yes	$4	70.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 20?	No	$6	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?	Yes	$2	70.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19?	No	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	$13	66.9¢	Won

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Won
Yes$5 @ 94.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 20?Won
No$1 @ 84.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?Won
No$5 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?Won
No$4 @ 81.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$9 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 5?Won
No$3 @ 87.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?Won
No$7 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$23 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 29?Won
Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on March 29?Won
No$4 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?Lost
No$6 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 23?Won
No$1 @ 81.9¢
Will Trump post "Ass" on Truth Social this week?Won
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
No$1 @ 37.0¢
Will Trump say "Peace Through Strength" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$1 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?Won
No$4 @ 83.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Won
No$16 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?Won
Yes$6 @ 63.5¢
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 79.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$5 @ 73.6¢
Will Trump say "NATO" or "Friend" or "Ally" 7+ times during events with Japanese PM?Won
Yes$1 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$11 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?Won
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?Won
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 14.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 5?Won
Yes$5 @ 70.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?Won
Yes$6 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?Lost
No$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Won
No$3 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on April 6?Lost
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 21?Won
Yes$1 @ 87.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Won
No$3 @ 90.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 19?Won
No$3 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5?Won
Yes$5 @ 84.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on April 2?Won
No$5 @ 83.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?Lost
No$10 @ 69.3¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$11 @ 53.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 19?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 21?Won
No$1 @ 83.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$11 @ 30.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?Won
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 20?Won
Yes$4 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 20?Won
No$6 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?Won
Yes$2 @ 70.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 19?Won
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Won
No$13 @ 66.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	Yes	$12	12.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	38.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	No	$11	38.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$11	71.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$5	73.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Politics	Yes	$5	94.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	30.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$2	36.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 38.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
No$11 @ 38.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Politics
Yes$11 @ 71.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$5 @ 73.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Politics
Yes$5 @ 94.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$2 @ 36.0¢