← Smart money
0x3db2…0f2e
SharpEdge
+7.6pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
52% @ 44.5¢
Brier
0.110
Resolved
999
Avg size
$60
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (49/165) | +13% | 165 |
| Politics | 0% (0/19) | -100% | 19 |
- Other165 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (49/165)
- ROI
- +13%
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/19)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
27% hit · 49/184- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$73 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$250 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.4¢
- No$880 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 4.4¢
- No$205 @ 51.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
- No$8 @ 83.1¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.6¢
- No$1.5k @ 81.6¢
- Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 9.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 79.1¢
- No$900 @ 56.1¢
- No$484 @ 59.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
- No$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$190 @ 26.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.6¢
- No$6.5k @ 80.0¢
- No$589 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.4¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $17 | 13.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $14 | 7.0¢ |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.4¢ |
- Yes$17 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.4¢